ROSENBLATT INITIATES $SNDK AT BUY, $2,400 PT
Analyst Kevin Cassidy says AI is shifting NAND from a commodity storage product into a more system-critical part of AI infrastructure, as performance, endurance and supply certainty become more important.
Rosenblatt also highlights SanDisk’s new agreements with 8 of the world’s largest NAND customers, which it estimates could cover ~65% of FY28 production.
Based on management’s long-term framework, Cassidy estimates FY30 non-GAAP EPS could reach ~$300/share.
Rosenblatt initiated $SNDK at Buy with a $2,400 PT as AI turns NAND into a “more system-critical component of AI infrastructure.”
The firm sees ~80% gross margins and ~$300 of FY30 EPS as SanDisk moves closer to the compute stack and customer agreements reduce NAND cyclicality.
Rosenblatt's Kevin Cassidy just initiated $SNDK at Buy with a $2,400 target, about 35% above where it traded today.
Management's framework for FY28 to FY30 is mid-to-high-teens revenue growth, roughly 80% gross margins, and half of every dollar of revenue turning into free cash flow. Rosenblatt calls its $300 FY30 EPS estimate conservative.
At $2,400 you'd be paying about 8 times that FY30 number. For a business with 80% gross margins and most of its output pre-sold, that isn't a hype multiple, it's the market still pricing SanDisk like the old cyclical it used to be.
The target sits comfortably above the roughly $2,000 street average, right next to BofA's $2,500.
$SNDK is one of my largest positions.
I’m hyper bullish on this name.