Register and share your invite link to earn from video plays and referrals.

Ren
@ren_stocks
Investing into the AI buildout ⚡️ 460% YTD Head of AI | Product Manager #79# Bestseller on Substack Finance. Subscribe on X or on Substack to get Discord access
101 Following    52.4K Followers
You have no idea how proud this makes me. In just two months, the Discord I've built has turned into one of the best trading communities I've been part of, where people support each other, learn from one another and share high quality alpha. The best part is that I didn't build it alone. This is only the beginning ⚡
Show more
While I was building the humanoid supply-chain piece, I kept running into one subsystem that was so dense, so expensive, and so misunderstood that it needed its own article: the hand. It's up to $20,000 per unit, over 30% of a humanoid's entire bill of materials, and it turns out the money isn't where the diagrams tell you it is. The gearbox everyone points to is only 12% of the cost. Half the value lives in twenty pea-sized motors, and a third lives in a fingertip that has to feel five million times without dying. Some names that show up in the piece: Harmonic Drive (6324.T) Nabtesco ($6268.T) Novanta ( NOVT) Renishaw (RSW.L) STMicroelectronics(STM) plus a stack of Chinese A-share challengers undercutting the incumbents on price. Check out the full piece below.
Show more
$NBIS $SNDK $MU $AMD $BE $LITE $MRVL $GLW $DELL $TSEM $AAOI $AEHR $MXL $PENG $SIVE $AXTI $CBRS $FLEXQ After giving it some thought, and for the benefit of the broader community, I'll be sharing ALL the research I create publicly moving forward, with a 2-week delay between when the subs get it and when everyone else does. Everything goes out as long articles, both on X and on Substack. You choose where, the research stays the same. That includes the 30+ long-form articles I've already written. I hope they help someone build their own thesis. The research belongs out in the open. What stays exclusive for subscribers is where the thesis becomes actionable: my portfolio updates, my trades (both long and short dated), and the X sub and Substack/Discord community. Funny thing, I've started re-sharing deep dives I wrote 3 months ago, and most names are getting back to the valuations they had in June, right before the unwind. My valuations, assumptions and thesis behind each name haven't changed. If anything, a really strong earnings season has only reconfirmed them. We're still very much at the beginning of the AI buildout. Maybe not the very beginning anymore, but there's so much more to come! So follow along and learn with me where the AI trade will take us. Bullish, Ren ⚡
Show more
$AMD back to back ATH 😎
Everyone is chasing the humanoid logos. I did what I did with AI Infra -- looked underneath the hood. The money is not in the robot, it is in the ~40 parts that repeat inside every body, the ones almost nobody can build. Here is the whole stack, layer by layer. The bottleneck is marked. The brain // the intelligence: $NVDA Nvidia -- Jetson + GR00T. The obvious one, lowest humanoid alpha. $QCOM Qualcomm -- RB6, lower-power industrial. Also: Tesla, $GOOGL, $META, iFlytek ( Huawei (private) Sensors & perception // how it sees and feels: $OUST Ouster -- solid-state lidar pure-play. $CGNX Cognex -- machine-vision incumbent. $ALGM Allegro -- magnetic position sensors. The quiet winner, every joint needs them. $VPG Vishay Precision -- strain gauges, force sensing. $NOVT Novanta -- six-axis force-torque (ATI). Also: Orbbec ( RoboSense ( $HSAI Hesai, Sunny Optical ( Edge AI inference // decisions on-device: $AMBA Ambarella -- edge vision processors. $LSCC Lattice -- low-power FPGAs for sensor fusion. $CEVA Ceva -- DSP and inference IP. Pure licensing, pure obscurity. Motors & motion // the muscles: $NJDCY Nidec -- world's largest motor maker. $AME Ametek -- precision instruments and motion. $RRX Regal Rexnord -- motors and drives at scale. $RBC RBC Bearings -- precision components. Also: Moons' Electric ( Zhaowei ( Leadshine ( Veichi ( Joints & precision motion // human-like movement --THE POTENTIAL BOTTLENECK: 6324.T Harmonic Drive -- strain wave gears. Every Optimus joint uses one. 6481.T THK -- planetary roller screws and linear bearings. Tokyo-listed, off the radar. $ALNT Allient -- US-listed, integrated motion. Schaeffler -- roller screws. Also: LeaderDrive ( Shuanghuan ( Zhongda Leader ( Dexterous hands // a humanoid in your palm: $INVN... none US-listed. China leads here. Zhaowei ( -- hand drive modules. Inovance ( -- servo and motion control. Also: PaXini (private, tactile) Actuator assembly // putting it together: Sanhua ( -- assembly at auto-supply-chain cost. Tuopu ( -- built for cost and volume. Power electronics // energy into controlled motion: $NVTS Navitas -- GaN, the asymmetric small-cap. $TXN Texas Instruments -- motor-control MCUs at scale. $STM STMicro -- broad motor-control portfolio. $ON onsemi -- power management and sensing. $MPWR Monolithic Power -- high-efficiency DC-DC. $IFNNY Infineon -- automotive-grade power. $RNECY Renesas -- automotive and industrial motor control. $WOLF Wolfspeed -- SiC pure-play, the distressed wildcard. Energy & rare earth // the raw fuel: $MP MP Materials -- the REE pure-play everyone knows. $USAR USA Rare Earth -- magnet manufacturing, the new entrant. $LYSCF Lynas -- largest non-China producer. $UUUU Energy Fuels -- diversified REE and uranium. ethereum:0xc18360217d8f7ab5e7c516566761ea12ce7f9d72 EnerSys -- industrial batteries. Also: CATL ( The magnet, not the cell, is the scarce part. The one maker I'd own: $CCXI $CCXI Churchill Capital XI -- merging with Agility Robotics, trades as $AGLT on close. Only US-listed pure-play humanoid. Digit is real: 65k+ work hours, 300M+ in orders, backed by NVIDIA, Amazon, Foxconn. Pre-deal SPAC though, ~10 dollar floor, size it accordingly. Goldman's own scorecard ranks them: harmonic gear (16) > dexterous hand (15) > actuator assembly + roller screw (14) at the top. Brain, battery and lidar (12-13) at the bottom. The money is in the middle, in the mechatronics. The winners may not be the robot makers. They may be the companies inside the robot. Now you know which floor to look at. ⚡
Show more
I'm long $SNDK On 16 June I published my first deep dive on SanDisk, by far one of the best performers in my portfolio Three months later the thesis and the bull, base and bear numbers are still on track Take a closer look and build your own conviction
Show more
$AAOI at $100 is trading 55% below its ATH. Is this a buying opportunity or hype stock? Both can be true at once, when price runs ahead of valuation. I did a long deep dive on the name 3 months ago. Check it out and build your own thesis.
Show more
3 months ago, $MU traded at $1,048. Today it closed right back there. That's when I published my Micron deep dive, arguing memory is structural, not cyclical, before even counting humanoids. Want to build your own memory thesis? Read my piece below.
Show more
Everlasting lessons endure the passage of time.
$NBIS News always follows price. Nice!
Today we're introducing spot pricing for preemptible VMs on Nebius. From October 8 the price will be calculated dynamically from available capacity and demand, per GPU type and region, instead of a discount we set. Cap what you pay, or follow the price. Settings are live today.
Show more
Day 265/365 of The 365-Day Pact We’ve gone from 1.207 followers to +49.800. It’s just absolutely crazy. 100 days left. Zero missed, no matter the circumstances. I’ve showed up every single day. The long-term portfolio is up 130% since inception in 2024%. The short-term portfolio, launched this year, is up 60% since inception. Now we’re closing in on 50K followers, and I’m actually a bit conflicted by it. First, I’m happy. Not just because I’m reaching the milestone I set at the beginning of the year with my daughter: > Show up every day for 365 days. We are now 265 days in, and we’re about to show her that consistency over time creates results and compounds. Which leads me to the second part. Thank you all for the amazing and kind support you’ve shown me on this journey. Every one of you has somehow contributed to teaching my daughter this lesson in real time and she actually thinks it’s pretty cool. Third, the conflicted part. This journey has only just begun for me, but the past few months have been challenging on a personal level, and I’m still working through some of it. I’ve learned that not every chapter needs to be rushed. Some things simply need time. I hope that, soon, I can close that chapter, take what I’ve learned from it, and move forward. One of the things I’m genuinely grateful for during this period is the people I’ve met through X. Since I started this journey, I’ve connected with an incredible number of people. Some have challenged my thinking. Some have taught me things I never would have found on my own. Some have inspired me to keep pushing. And some have simply been good people when it mattered. That means more to me than most probably realize. Therefore, a special thanks to: @Kaizen_Investor @SmallCapSnipa @PSInvestor @moninvestor @OInvests @CaesarCapitalz @EhrmantrautCap_ @FinnStockinger @retail_mourinho @CKCapitalxx @MrNeverSell @TacticzH @zizonchain @CoffeeStocksGuy @outliercapx @ChairmansLedger @pepemoonboy @valerijatrades1 @JonkooTrades There is so much alpha on X, and beyond the names above, I also want to highlight the value these lads bring to the FinX community: @ParadisLabs @daniel_koss @babyfolio @investingluc @ren_stocks @Sandeman52 @pequityresearch @damnang2 @jpinsights @BeardoTrader @Venu_7_ @KawzInvests @Brownmoose @mikealfred @asklivermore @Agrippa_Inv I have the utmost respect for the incredible research everybody is doing on here. I hope FinX continues to grow into a community where we genuinely support each other. There will always be different opinions, different strategies, and different convictions. That’s what makes this place valuable. Sometimes it feels like everybody is competing against each other, when the reality is that we’re not. We’re all trying to beat the same thing: The market. I have nothing but respect for the people who share their work, challenge ideas, and help make everyone around them better. So, thank you for the kindness, support, discussions, and knowledge you’ve shared with me since I started this journey. And thank you for welcoming me into the FinX community. Lets see where the final 100 days takes us. Mark my words, this is only the beginning. A lot more to come. Onwards, -BPC PS. If I forgot to mention anyone, it was far from my intention.
Show more
$SNDK Citi expects enterprise SSD demand to rise 52.9% in 2027 and 41% in 2028, with total SSD demand up 45%. NAND demand grows 29% in 2027 and 33% in 2028 against supply growth of 21% and 25%, pushing the supply-demand ratio from −0.8% this year to −6.1% in 2027 and −5.5% in 2028. Expects industry NAND wafer capacity to grow only 3.2% in 2027, with Samsung's NAND capacity actually falling 4.7% as it redirects resources to DRAM and HBM, and SK hynix and Micron roughly flat. That's the mechanism behind the deficit: demand up 29%, wafers up 3%, with the gap covered only by process migration. Citi expects the tightness to persist until 2031, with DRAM deficits of −8.7% and −9.7% in 2027 and 2028 alongside the NAND numbers. And projects NAND average selling prices up 45.3% in 2027. Bullish for $SNDK
Show more
$SNDK Funny thing. I've been hyper bullish on agentic AI for over a year, and it's one of the main reasons I hold the stocks I do, memory above all, and NAND in particular. TrendForce just raised its NAND price forecast. Enterprise SSD Soars, Consumer Stalls. Enterprise SSD orders are still climbing into Q4 on North American cloud demand, and the two drivers they name are agentic AI and KV cache offload. Agents generate state. Every task an agent runs leaves behind retrieval results, working files and intermediate steps, and all of it has to be stored somewhere fast enough to be useful and cheap enough to keep. That's why cloud providers are scaling QLC SSDs, which pack the most bits per dollar of anything with an interface fast enough to serve inference. KV cache offload is the other end. Models need to hold context, and until now that lived in HBM and DRAM, the two scarcest, most expensive places on earth to keep anything. Push the parts you don't need every millisecond onto SSDs and you free up the expensive tiers for the work that actually needs them. TrendForce says the industry is building frameworks specifically to do this, and China's inference architectures are already leaning on it. The funny thing is the same report says consumer NAND is oversupplied, with YMTC adding capacity and a two-track pricing structure emerging in 2027. Enterprise NAND it’s becoming a different product from the stuff in your phone, with its own supply, its own buyers and its own price. The part of the market that agents need is the part that's short, and the part that's oversupplied is the part $SNDK doesn't depend on. Bullish $SNDK
Show more
This looks scary at first glance. Three companies worth more than 45 years of tech IPOs combined. Bubble, right? Follow the dollars instead. A frontier lab raises money. What does it spend it on? Compute, and not much else. Some of it they buy outright, but most of it they rent, which means multi-year contracts with hyperscalers and neoclouds. Those contracts are what a neocloud takes to its lenders to borrow against. So every dollar of equity a lab raises can end up financing several dollars of hardware further down the chain. Now, who takes the risk if the stock trades badly after listing? Whoever bought the IPO. The cash has already been raised, the contracts have already been signed, and the orders are already placed. And where do those orders go? Of course, to the AI buildout: GPUs. CPUs. HBM and DRAM. Flash. Optics and interconnect. Power. The suppliers get paid either way. So regardless of how these names perform after they have been listed, this is bullish for the AI buildout ⚡️
Show more
$META $AMD $MU $SNDK $INTC $ARM Meta's Muse just took what OpenClaw proved an autonomous agent can do and removed the barrier to entry. The result: people who don't care about setting up technical stuff, or about AI itself, using a product that makes their lives easier. Ben Thompson called it "the best and most approachable personal agent product I have tried," and regular people seem to agree. No. 1 on the US App Store in ten days, 1.8M US and Canada iOS downloads in its first 12 days against 1.3M for ChatGPT, and 642K US daily users against 231K. THE MODEL IS CHEAP. THE COMPUTER ISN'T. On Cursor's own benchmark, Muse Spark 1.3 at max roughly matches GPT-5.6 Sol at max, 41.6% against 41.7%, at about a third of the cost per task. Meta didn't build the smartest model, it built one good enough and cheap enough to give away, and that moves the bill from the GPU to the machine the agent lives on. Every user gets their own always-on cloud machine, 2 vCPUs, 8GB of RAM and 100GB of SSD, which stays on whether you're using it or not. AGENTS DON'T CHURN LIKE CHATBOTS Switching chatbots takes a click. Once an agent holds your email, your calendar and your habits, leaving means starting over. Sticky users mean machines that stay switched on for a long time. And Meta plays this game from strength: it already runs the best personalization engine in consumer tech, and Adam Mosseri says it's only now getting as sophisticated as people always assumed it was. WHAT IT MEANS FOR THR AI TRADE At 100M users: 200M vCPUs, roughly 0.5M to 1.6M server CPUs depending on core counts and sharing, 800 PB of RAM and 10 EB of SSD. Meta will share hardware and park idle machines, so the real number lands lower, but every lab now has to answer with its own cloud computer per user. Chatbots made GPUs scarce.Agents add CPUs, DRAM and flash to the list. Bullish AF for the AI buildout ⚡
Show more
Rosenblatt's Kevin Cassidy just initiated $SNDK at Buy with a $2,400 target, about 35% above where it traded today. Management's framework for FY28 to FY30 is mid-to-high-teens revenue growth, roughly 80% gross margins, and half of every dollar of revenue turning into free cash flow. Rosenblatt calls its $300 FY30 EPS estimate conservative. At $2,400 you'd be paying about 8 times that FY30 number. For a business with 80% gross margins and most of its output pre-sold, that isn't a hype multiple, it's the market still pricing SanDisk like the old cyclical it used to be. The target sits comfortably above the roughly $2,000 street average, right next to BofA's $2,500. $SNDK is one of my largest positions. I’m hyper bullish on this name.
Show more
3 months ago, $MU traded at $1,048. Today it closed right back there. That's when I published my Micron deep dive, arguing memory is structural, not cyclical, before even counting humanoids. Want to build your own memory thesis? Read my piece below.
Show more
3 months ago, $MU traded at $1,048. Today it closed right back there. That's when I published my Micron deep dive, arguing memory is structural, not cyclical, before even counting humanoids. Want to build your own memory thesis? Read my piece below.
Show more
I might need to up my $META shares. This guy has proper game.
tbh pretty proud how non-butthole the muse logo looks