STRC’s recovery, Strategy’s cash rebuild, and what comes next for Digital Credit.
The August issue from @UTXOmgmt’s Digital Credit Monthly.
$STRC $MSTR #Bitcoin# @Saylor
STRC hits $100 by Sept 30th: NO 66c
At the moment, Saylor is selling BTC to fund the cash reserve (almost $5b now). When Bitcoin goes up, $STRC probably goes up with it. Will BTC go up? Yes, but I think closer to year-end, eg. October and the rest of Q4. I doubt STRC will repeg before Sept 30th. In general it should be more selling pressure the closer we get to $100.
So yes, it will re-peg. But not before Sept 30th.
NFA. DYOR.
Trade with me here:
STRC is now trading 35% of MSTR's daily share volume on a 7-day MA. SATA is at 6% of ASST.
But that's the wrong number. Run the dollar volume instead.
Over the last 30 days:
MSTR ~$2.96B/day · STRC ~$409M/day → STRC = 14% of MSTR's dollar flow
ASST ~$55M/day · SATA ~$19M/day → SATA = 35% of ASST's dollar flow
The ratio inverts because share volume hides what par-priced instruments actually move.
A SATA share trades at ~$100. An ASST share trades at ~$17. One SATA print is six ASST prints.
Of every dollar of capital touching the Strategy stack on a given day, 12¢ goes through STRC.
Of every dollar touching the Strive stack, 26¢ goes through SATA.
Strive's preferred is doing more of the work for its common than Strategy's is, proportional to the size of each ecosystem.
In absolute terms STRC is a $400M+ daily market. SATA is still a $19M one. The instrument is real on both sides.
The scale isn't comparable yet.
Watch the trajectory. STRC went from 4% of MSTR share volume in November to 35% today. Six months.
But remember, SATA is a LOT newer than STRC.
The same curve is starting to bend on SATA - 2% to 6% over the same window - just from a smaller base.
Can't wait to continue watching digital credit adoption in real time... especially with daily and semi-monthly dividends for the instruments.
STRC volume today: 15.60M shares. ~$1.56B notional.
For context, the entire month of October 2025 averaged barely a million shares a day. Today did fifteen.
4.3x the 15-day moving average.
The most liquid preferred on Nasdaq is a fire hose pointed at the orange coin.
STRC is the greatest business model of all-time.
Saylor raised over $10 billion in 2036 capital in ONE DAY... assuming Bitcoin goes up 25% per year.
Today's volume @ 80% capture rate over $100 par.
BTC acquired: 14,172 BTC
Average BTC price: $81,920
Dollar amount raised/deployed: about $1.161B
Dividend rate: 11.5% annually
BTC growth assumption: 25% CAGR
Timeframe: 10 years
After 10 years at 25% CAGR:
BTC price:
$81,920 × 1.25¹⁰ = $762,939
Value of 14,172 BTC:
14,172 × $762,939 = $10.81B
Annual dividend cost:
$1.161B × 11.5% = $133.5M per year
Total dividends paid over 10 years:
$133.5M × 10 = $1.335B
The green bars are the CUMULATIVE running total of dividends paid over a decade. The dividend is also assumed at Strategy ALWAYS paying 11.5%... when in reality rates will likely be lower.
Paying 11.5% in fiat to stack compounding Bitcoin is incredible.
One day of trading. $9.47 billion in spread value captured over a decade.
Strategy will be the most valuable company in the world.
STRC MADNESS IS HERE
3.5 hours for $785.4 million in trading volume.
80% capture rate means roughly $628.32 million dollars raised.
In 3.5 hours. 210 minutes. $3 million per minute.
0.6 BITCOIN PER SECOND.
S&P 500 companies who do less than that PER QUARTER in PROFIT:
AutoZone
Starbucks
Lululemon
Domino's Pizza
Dollar Tree
AirBnb
3M