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Gas Turbine Shortage Sends AI Developers Back To Boilers And Steam
Gas Turbines and Datacenters my TLDR is: • Literally every turbine (even the inefficient ones) are sold out through 2030. • Prices are 3x those from 2019. Slot times are more valuable than the cost efficiency. • Turbine OEM's were burned out from a buildout from 2009–2014 when there was a huge rush due to the shale revolution, shift to use more gas due to Fukushima, coal retirements. For ex, GE Power imploded. Therefore, they have been slow to expand production. • Four key bottlenecks for parts that go into a gas turbine: 1. Single-crystal castings: only 5 firms in the world do this 2. Heavy rotor forgings: only 4 firms do this 3. The casting furnaces themselves: 3 firms 4. GSU transformers: in the US, there's only one. Heron Power is building here, they raised $140 million in a Series B from a16z in Feb 2026.
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ELON MUSK: “Turbines are sold out through 2030. In order to bring enough power online, SpaceX and Tesla will probably have to make the turbine blades and vanes internally. There are only three casting companies in the world that make these, and they’re massively backlogged.”
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🌍 57 wind turbine blades became a parking garage Lund, Sweden's Aurora garage holds 365 cars. Turbines get a second life Sources: The Mayor EU, Lund AB #omgfacts# #Sweden# #GreenEnergy# #Architecture#
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Via Morgan Stanley gas turbine tracker: 38GW of Gas turbine orders in calendar 2Q26 is a new quarterly record, and 1H26 orders are now annualizing at 134GW for 2026 (+34% YOY)
Towering wind turbines dot the lush mountains in Shangyou County, east China's Jiangxi Province, driving sustainable development while boosting local tourism.
Some of China’s biggest wind turbine makers are considering partnerships with local companies to break into a European power market that’s proving difficult to crack.
A bird gets hit by a wind turbine. A 2012 study found that wind projects kill 0.269 birds per gigawatt-hour of electricity produced, compared to 5.18 birds killed per gigawatt-hour of electricity from fossil fuel projects/plants.
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We made this beautiful high pressure compressor turbine rotor and then the team screwed it up entirely by installing all the cases and hid all the sexy stuff.
"Profound Game-Changer": Musk Launching New Turbine Blade Factory To Solve Shortage Threatening AI Boom