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Warsh claims the Fed finally owns the inflation problem and that this time it's actually committed to solving it. But other than making superficial changes, there have been no substantive changes to past monetary policy that failed to return inflation to the Fed's 2% target.
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Warsh today:
All bark. No bite.
Still miles from its inflation target.
The Fed is in the final stretch of this suicidal tightening cycle.
The chart below shows where hawkish talk runs into fiscal reality.
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Warsh says politics played no role in Fed's rate decision by group he is 'honored' to lead
Warsh just referred to artificial intelligence as "superintelligence." This suggests that when it comes to language, Warsh is following Trump's directives. This also suggests that he may have bowed to political pressure from Trump not to hike rates a week before the midterms.
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Warsh: “not to my knowledge”
…when asked if he married his brother
WARSH ENDS PRESS CONFERENCE
*WARSH: I PAY MORE ATTENTION TO KOREA THAN YOU MIGHT THINK
Warsh: rising rates is hammering AI (paraphrase)
Translation: Fed not happy about memory hyperinflation (which will push 2026 core PCE by 0.5%)
WARSH: RATES HAVE ROLLED OVER TO THE DOWNSIDE
Warsh noted that there will be few policy setting meetings going forward, suggesting that some meetings may price for greater moves and risks and more rate-market volatility around meetings, particularly if forward guidance continues to be reduced
@IraFJersey
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