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CCC spreads continue to widen, but overall, high yield spreads remains contained. At least for now.
CCC spreads continue to creep wider.
Ukraine’s ‘CCC’ Credit Rating Reaffirmed by Fitch
Spreads on CCC-rated US junk debt are back above 1,000 bps, the widest since 2022.
The rest of the high-yield market is still tighter than 84% of readings since 1994.
Ratio of CCC to HY spreads (Morgan Stanley)
Credit cracking big time:
CCC OAS 998bp: +140bp in a month, +226bp in 3 months, and 100%-ile over 1y and 3y
HY OAS up 43bp in a week to 309bp (97th %-ile),
CDX HY +36.2bp to 337.2
IG all-in yields sit at 6.48%, highest since 2004
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Quite a divergence:
CCC OAS 919bp, +150bp in 3 months: 99th percentile
IG OAS 75bp / BB 150bp / B 252bp: 0–4th percentiles
