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I overestimated the difficulty of orchestrating massive numbers of agents. I assumed research would be needed to build working organizations of agents, but they self-organize very well (and politely)
Here is a Fable coordinator in Claude Projects passing messages between agents.
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We overestimate the accuracy of doomers and underestimate the accuracy of optimists.
Trump to Axios: Iran overestimated its strengths
Markets are overestimating sovereign debt risks, according to Jupiter Asset Management’s Mark Nash
Sam Altman says he overestimated how fast AI would disrupt the economy.
"We've all been too ambitious on timelines. Even with this incredible technology, society and the economy will adapt more slowly."
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Americans tend to overestimate voters’ prejudices against women and ethnic minorities. Democrats are particularly prone to this - which ironically makes them less likely to support female or minority candidates due to concerns about electability.
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People consistently overestimate how hard it is to build something and underestimate how hard it is to win people’s attention once you’ve built it
It is impossible to overestimate the historic importance of @elonmusk purchasing this platform. He saved freedom of speech. He saved truth.
Roy Charles Amara: "We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate the effect in the long run."
I feel like people sometimes overestimate how old our country is and even how old the world is.
William Shakespeare 1564-1616
Thomas Hobbes 1588-1679
Isaac Watts 1674-1748
Thomas Jefferson 1743-1826
Harriet Tubman 1822-1913
Ronald Reagan 1911-2004
Sadie Sink 2002-present
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