Seeing the world clearly 👓
We partnered with @VisionToLearn and @GeorgiasOwn to supply free eyeglasses & books to students at Evoline C. West Elementary School! ❤️
Seeing very old ladies work breaks my fucking heart.
It was rough for me to see an old lady working the Wendy's drive-through.
But about an hour ago I just saw a frail old lady clearly in her 70's working mall security.
Shit kills my soul. This economy needs to get better.
Seeing the demos come together over the last week has been awesome -- so many things that previously required a special-purpose model (e.g. real-time translation, event detection in video) turn out to be zero-shot instruction following once you have a general-purpose model with the right type signature -- continuous/simultaneous audio+video+text->audio+text
Seeing a lot of posts lately (mostly AI slop) hyping up certain traders while treating everyone on the other side of the trade like they’re stupid.
Respect the market. Respect your counterparty.
The person taking the opposite side of your bet isn’t an idiot. They just see the board differently. Even if they end up losing, their decision might have been mathematically sound at the time.
Polymarket is a lot like poker. The player who loses at the final table isn't stupid, and the winner isn't necessarily a genius. Just like weather forecasting, there are many valid models and different ways to find an edge.
Ultimately, it’s all about Expected Value (+EV). If you pay 10¢ for an event that has a true 30% probability of happening, that is a fantastic trade. But you still have a 70% chance of losing.
Stop judging decisions purely by the outcome.
Understand the math, and stay humble.