$BTC The order book depth has been significantly red around this price region, which isn’t particularly bullish. That’s why it’s perfectly reasonable to remain cautious near the highs. The only real time to bid is when delta flips strongly positive and prints green which would signal accumulation. Until that happens... risky being a buyer up here. Mainly leverage driven hunts.

Do people really think we’re going to V-shape recover out of a bear market without any prolonged chop or range bound price action? Just look at how parabolic the S&P 500 has become. Do you seriously think $BTC is going to keep outperforming once that momentum finally stops? I don’t think so.

The Clarity Act news has been released while $BTC is testing weekly and monthly resistance. We live in a simulation. 🤣 Major news always lines up with local tops or bottoms. You should already know by now, it's priced in.

$BTC It indeed looks like we’re going for another sweep of the PWH at 83K. Would be very brutal if that plays out. Because a retrace back below the high would be deviation into acceptance, and that’s likely where we get the push down toward the 0.5 of the range.

We respected the previous weekly open as expected. Now things are getting interesting. Either we sweep the previous weekly high around 82.2K, or we form a lower high and see $BTC push back below 80K. At the moment, the structure looks very liquidity driven and “hunty,” which is expected if we are close to forming a local top.

$BTC Not much to update on the swing short position so far. BTC is still hovering with nothing really happening at the moment. I’ve already derisked 50% of the position below 80K, so risk is managed if I happen to be wrong. For now, I still believe the 74–76K region is likely to get tested.

Sometimes, its a good idea to flip $BTC inverted. Different perception. Do you see any major players building long positions here, or do you think they’re more likely to derisk? I would rather go with the second option.

$BTC Well, close enough. Was aiming for a sweep below the previous weekly open. Hold the 78.6K region & we can push to the 80s again. I am still searching for 74-76K on the HTF.

At 112K, I projected that $BTC would trend down to 37K. After updating my analysis, and with several months potentially still left in this broader bear phase, I now see the 50–60K range as a great area to scale in. Whether we get another sweep below 60K remains to be seen. If it happens, I’ll take advantage of it; if not, I’ll simply wait for a clear structural shift and flip long accordingly rather than anchoring to a single target. The broader cycle structure still leans toward a potential move below 60K, but ultimately we’ll see whether history repeats or this cycle deviates. Until then... we observe.

I’d like to see how $BTC performs once SP500 has its final retrace this year before the bull run begins. The next drop in legacy assets this year will likely mark the pivot point for BTC to move toward new highs. We are indeed in a economic simulation.

As we’ve seen, $BTC pumped at the start of the week on Monday, sweeping the highs as CPI data was priced in. That move has created a strong bullish narrative into CPI If BTC follows the kind of inverse narrative we’ve seen before, we can see a 5–8% move to the downside.

$BTC So far, so good. We wicked into the weekly open but couldn’t reclaim it. Now the key level is the psychological 80K area. If that breaks, I expect continuation to the downside toward the lower levels I mentioned, where I’ll be looking for scalp longs. Overall, this is an important week, and the way this weekly candle closes will likely set the direction moving forward.

A lot of my followers came from my $BTC top prediction, but before that I was posting my day trades, my HTF thoughts, my LTF thoughts, everything. Recently I’ve eased off posting as much LTF because I didn’t want people confusing my short-term trades with my higher timeframe outlook. But first and foremost, I’m a trader. I had an exceptional 8 month run. I caught the 108K short down to 80K when I had little to no followers, then rode the entire move from 80K longs to 109K. Then, I flipped net short at 123K & caught multiple shorts down to 64K. I grew because of consistency. My pivots worked like a charm. My reads were accurate. But eventually markets change, price action changes, patterns evolve, and that’s completely normal. That’s why adaptation and diversification matter so much in this game. Reality is simple: over the past 8 months, my swing trades have played out almost flawlessly. This could simply be one of the times I’m wrong on a short. And if that happens, of course people will talk shit. Some people have been waiting months for one losing call because they’ve been counter trading me from the start. People will ignore months of wins just to focus on one loss. That’s social media. That’s engagement culture. I genuinely don’t care. I lose too. I do not win every single trade, and I never claimed to. Sure, I come across cocky at times, but the confidence people criticize is the exact mentality that got me to this level. Believing in myself. Trusting my system. Blocking out noise. In trading, if you don’t have conviction in your own execution, the market will destroy you mentally. A lot of people project their own insecurities onto others. If you lack confidence in your own trading, that’s something you need to work on internally, not something I need to tone down externally. I think people have built this false perception that I never lose, when in reality I simply win far more than I lose. There’s a difference. But when I’m wrong, I’ll admit it publicly. I won’t delete posts, rewrite history, or pretend I was right after the fact. Transparency, integrity, accountability, those are things I stand on, whether people like me or not. At the end of the day, no trader on this planet wins forever. The market humbles everyone eventually. What matters is being able to adapt, survive, and stay consistent. One loss doesn’t erase years of discipline, just like one win doesn’t make someone a great trader.

It does look like the winning streak for swing shorts may be coming to an end. It was a solid run. De-risking 50% on the retest below 80K $BTC turned out to be a good call. Invalidation remains the same, a 1D closure 84K. You can definitely short my stop loss, it’ll probably mark the local top given they are paying attention to everything I do.

Study how $BTC PA has reacted over the past few years. Study how nearly every significant weekly resistance gets rejected on the first retest. Study how major weekly structural areas almost never flip on the first attempt. You know where we are. You know what we’re testing for the first time. The market has a funny way of making people flip bias at the exact moment it’s least appropriate to flip. Even in bull markets, price forms ranges. It retests levels. It rejects key areas. You don’t get straight impulsive moves without months of consolidation, ranges, and failed breakouts along the way. This is the market maker way & this is exactly what has been happening for years.