We find asymmetric growth setups before the breakout
Elliott Wave | Cycles | Fundamentals
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$NVO
Down more than 4% pre-market after its Capital Markets Day.
Investors are mainly reacting to slower Wegovy growth and increasing competition from $LLY.
But $NVO remains an obvious long-term holding for me:
- 5+ multi-blockbusters targeted by 2030
- 10x higher capacity for oral GLP-1 obesity patients
- 60M+ patients targeted globally by 2030
- Oral obesity gamechanger: $NVO still leads $LLY in adoption
The broader negative sentiment also supports my short-term bearish outlook.
I still expect a final bottom somewhere between $32 and $16.
After that, I expect a sustained recovery toward $64 and eventually $81+ over the mid to long term.