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YashasEdu
@YashasEdu
v2 | Writing uncomfortable truths about money, systems and what we pretend we believe
Joined February 2024
799 Following    9.6K Followers
Good coverage man. Lemme share my thoughts on this bear market which are slightly different though in 6 points. 1. This bear market is not mainly about missing buyers/capital. It is about a permanent change in what crypto is allowed to be cuz for the last 10 years crypto sold the dream of building a parallel society with new money/internet/everything and that dream is now dead and people who're still talking like that are either coping or fundraising lol. 2. What is left is much narrower + harder as crypto is becoming specialised financial machinery and nothing more. And we all know pecialised machinery only gets capital when it is clearly better at a specific job than the old machinery which creates a brutal filter most people are still underestimating. 3. The teams that survive the next 3-4 years will be the ones that can prove in numbers they move money, risk or attention more efficiently than TradFi or big tech and this is why the market psychology feels so empty. Earlier people bought coins because they believed in a future larger than finance. That belief is gone for most serious capital. What remains is cold calculation of does this thing actually do a useful job at lower cost/higher speed? 4. The 2nd order effect matters more than the PA here cuz when an industry loses its ideology, two things happen at the same time... - Innovation slows down because fewer people are willing to spend years on work that no longer feels inspiring - The innovation that remains becomes sharper and more dangerous to big existing players, because the people left only solve real problems. 5. We are in the middle of that transition. Many projects are dead because their entire reason for existing was the old ideology and once that ideology lost power, they had no remaining function. 6. In my opinion now the real alpha right now is figuring out which pieces of financial machinery still need better rails and which of those rails can only exist onchain. We should be looking for jobs that are still done badly, then building the narrow tool that does that one job better than anyone else and that is a slower, less exciting and much more durable game.
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