Register and share your invite link to earn from video plays and referrals.

付鹏的财经世界
@fupenglondon
新火集团Bitfire首席经济学家 原东北证券首席经济学家 华尔街见闻《付鹏说》专栏作者 《见证思维》《见证逆潮》《见证联动》等“见证”系列图书作者 ⚠️ 本账号为付鹏唯一官方 X 账号,无任何小号与私域群,其余均为假冒盗版,谨防上当受骗
Joined March 2013
301 Following    54.5K Followers
We should review the 2021 "chicken dinner shrinking" market trend. Initially, everyone thought there would be a rapid recovery after the pandemic, anticipating a surge in overall market performance. However, as economic data was released in the second quarter, investors began to realize that there might not be a sustained overall market rally. This gradually evolved into a market focused on structural changes rather than overall market performance, leading to the "chicken dinner shrinking" trend. New energy (lithium batteries, photovoltaics, etc.) became the absolute main driver of capital inflows, with the "Ningbo Index" significantly outperforming the market and some leading stocks experiencing explosive growth. Meanwhile, traditional consumer blue chips (the Kweichow Moutai Index) and most small-cap/non-core sectors continued to suffer losses. The index remained relatively stable, but individual stocks generally declined, with trading highly concentrated in a few "group-buying" stocks. Trading became extremely congested, preventing the "group-buying" trend from spreading. When external conditions worsened, risk appetite decreased, and funds became even more concentrated in these stocks, accelerating the cycle of "the worse the market, the more funds are held, and the more funds are held, the worse the market becomes." Then, in early 2022, the collapse of these "group-buying" stocks was triggered by tightening external liquidity, a valuation correction in US stocks, underperformance of the "group-buying" stocks, falsified fundamentals, negative feedback from mutual fund redemptions, and further losses in small-cap stocks, creating a spiral cycle.
Show more