The OrderX $BTC Update:
1️⃣ The VRP Wipeout: The 9-point variance risk premium we flagged this week has been completely annihilated. Realized vol surged straight up to match implied vol at 35%. The VRP premium didn't decay—it got paid out.
2️⃣ The Put Skew Reload: 25d Risk Reversals have swung right back to defensive baselines, with the May 29 tenor down to -7.14%. Institutional desks are looking past the local noise and aggressively reloading structural downside protection at a massive discount.
The OrderX Verdict: With front-end butterfly metrics flattening out, look to sell the newly cheapened near-term wings and rotate that premium into June calendar spreads to capture the structural skew divergence.
Data:
@laevitas1
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