The market has changed.
In my eyes the biggest advantage a company can have right now is already being where the customer is.
I am focusing on companies with a distribution moat.
These are the ones on my watchlist:
1. $META – 3B+ daily users across Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, Messenger. Any AI it ships is in front of half the planet on day one.
2. $GOOGL – Search, Android, Chrome, YouTube, Gmail, Maps. Owns more default surfaces than anyone.
3. $AAPL – 2B+ active devices and the App Store gate. Whoever wins the phone wins the on-device AI entry point.
4. $MSFT – Windows, Office, Teams, LinkedIn, GitHub. The only company with default distribution into every enterprise desk.
5. $AMZN – Prime, Alexa, the marketplace, plus AWS as developer distribution. Owns both the consumer and the builder.
6. $TCEHY – WeChat is a billion+ user super app. China's AI will run through it.
7. $CRM – Salesforce sits in front of nearly every enterprise sales team. AI agents get sold into seats already deployed.
8. $INTU – QuickBooks and TurboTax touch tens of millions of small businesses and taxpayers. AI bookkeeping and filing land on an installed base.
9.$UBER – 150M+ monthly users and a physical world network. AI dispatch and autonomy plug into demand that already exists.
10.$SPOT – 700M+ users on an audio surface. AI DJ and recommendations run on top of listening habits already formed.