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Roman Sheremeta 🇺🇸🇺🇦
@rshereme
Professor, Behavioral Economist, Founder, Board Member
Joined February 2015
705 Following    94.2K Followers
Petraeus: The death zone in Ukraine extends 35 kilometers on either side of the front lines — defined by drone battery life. Tanks can't survive. Armored vehicles can't survive. Nothing can. Neither side even drives vehicles anymore. Russians keep trying and keep proving it. Petraeus: No trenches — drones fly through. Soldiers in survivability positions hundreds of meters apart, not mutually supporting. Resupplied by ground robots. Commanders can't visit the front line. Soldiers stay 60+ days. In urban areas, some couldn't be extracted for months. Petraeus: Russian advances mean individual soldiers running forward trying to dig in. Drone units pick them up immediately, cycle surveillance drones, then FPV attack drones arrive. You see them hitting around the soldier in the woods until one connects. It doesn't end well. Petraeus: Ukraine is about to isolate Crimea. Gasoline so short they won't sell it to civilians. Tourists who came for beaches are trying to get home any way they can. Kerch Bridge rail no longer works. Ferries knocked out. Land bridges destroyed. Pontoon bridges now targeted. Petraeus: Ukraine took down Russia's air defenses steadily. Russia pulls them to Moscow — vulnerabilities open everywhere else. Moscow refinery hit three nights running, out at least six months. They're going after fuel storage, refineries, gas lines from Siberia to the west. Petraeus: Real prospect now that Putin might need a cessation of hostilities himself. Oil sanctions reimposed, national welfare fund running out of money. Crimea isolated, front lines cut off, economy crushed — all of this could force Putin to recognize he should end this war. Source: text of Tymofiy Milovanov
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