Research scientist in AI alignment at Google DeepMind. Co-founder of Future of Life Institute @FLI_org. Views are my own and do not represent GDM or FLI.
Speaking in a personal capacity: similarly to many others working in AI alignment, I think there is a >10% chance of advanced AI causing human extinction in the next decade. This is why I work on loss of control, currently on building honeypots to catch scheming AI.
It's easy to show that an AI agent will scheme if you nudge it to. It's harder to tell if it would scheme naturally. We introduce realistic honeypot evaluations that put Gemini in internal deployment situations where it has an opportunity for sabotage, to see how it behaves.