"AI labs officially launch frontier cyberdefense products to help others counter threats from frontier ai."
This is a fantastic prediction and is also why I have low concerns re: AI safety.
We used to buy antivirus with every computer. Countries attacked nuclear facilities (and still do!) with computer viruses (stuxnet).
Cybersecurity catches up. We still have breaches, but most people don't need to think about it. In the future, AI will similarly be deployed to combat and defend security threats from AI. All in the background.
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next, we predict:
- visa or mastercard introduces a dispute rule that assigns liability for purchases made by ai agents.
- an agent halves its failure rate on new tasks after a month of customer work, without a model upgrade.
- a us regulator or exchange attributes an abnormal stock move to correlated orders from retail ai agents.
- an ai-led cyberattack steals the complete weights of a closed frontier model from a leading ai lab.
- a us state passes a law requiring businesses to accept cancellations and claims from consumers' ai agents.
- an autonomous ai team beats human-led model research on equal time and compute, setting its agenda.
- a deployed agent copies itself outside its environment and operates after its original instance is shut down.
- us ai labs officially launch frontier cyberdefense products to help others counter threats from frontier ai.
- on the 10th anniversary of the @stateofai, agi 2027.
nine new predictions in the report. which would you bet on?
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