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Jeff Pu
@sssjeffpu
Tech Enthusiast. 20 years tech equity research + industry.
参加 April 2025
74 フォロー中    38.5K ファン
Memory: Our Tech Tour Suggests Intact DRAM • Recent supply chain tour + SEMICON 2026 point to stronger DRAM outlook than feared. Turning positive on DRAM sector after prior bearish notes on July 3. • DRAM solid: We believe the US hyperscaler inventories low and likely to be lowered further. Blended DRAM px expected ~10% QoQ in 4Q26 (vs high-teens in 3Q26). • NAND soft: High-teen QoQ pricing in 3Q26, then softening to low single-digit in 4Q26 on weaker mobile demand + elevated inventories. • HBM firm: Constructive 2027 view on tight supply + Chinese GPU demand. HBM4 asking ranging from $2.9-4.5/Gb and we expect the final pricing to be $3.5-4.0/Gb. However, still favor 8-Hi adoption but low probability of 4-Hi GPU variants. Vera SOCAMM de-spec remains, to 64GB by 1Q27. • SEMICON / NVHBM: MTK + Nvidia collab on NVHBM highlighted. Shifts base-die design value toward Nvidia (NVDA) and MTK (2454 TT). cHBM/zHBM progress noted during SEMICON #Memory# #DRAM# #NAND# #SEMICON# #NVDA# #MTK# #MU#
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