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Wall St Engine
@wallstengine
Fast, accurate, consistent stock market news, earnings highlights & more. By Brillinsight. Not financial advice.
ๅ‚ๅŠ  March 2022
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$TSM | TSMC Q2โ€™26 Detailed Earnings Highlights ๐Ÿ”น Revenue: $40.2B; +33.7% YoY ๐Ÿ”น Net Profit: $22.36B (Est. $19.74B) ๐ŸŸข; +77.4% YoY ๐Ÿ”น Gross Margin: 67.7% (Est. 67.1%) ๐ŸŸข ๐Ÿ”ธ CapEx raised to $60B-$64B from $52B-$56B. Q3โ€™26 Guide: ๐Ÿ”น Rev: $44.6B-$45.8B (Est. $43.11B) ๐ŸŸข; +37% YoY ๐Ÿ”น Gross Margin: 65%-67% (Est. 65.9%) ๐ŸŸก ๐Ÿ”น Operating Margin: 56%-58% (Est. 57.7%) ๐ŸŸก ๐Ÿ”น FX assumption: US$1 = NT$32.0 ๐Ÿ”ธ CapEx over the next 3 years will be โ€œeven more significantly higherโ€ than during the prior 3 years. Revenue by Platform: ๐Ÿ”น HPC: 66%; +20% QoQ ๐Ÿ”น Smartphone: 22%; -4% QoQ ๐Ÿ”น IoT: 5%; +4% QoQ ๐Ÿ”น Automotive: 4%; +15% QoQ ๐Ÿ”น DCE: 1%; +5% QoQ ๐Ÿ”น Others: 2%; +5% QoQ Technology Mix (Wafer Revenue): ๐Ÿ”น 2nm: 3% ๐Ÿ”น 3nm: 30% ๐Ÿ”น 5nm: 33% ๐Ÿ”น 7nm: 11% ๐Ÿ”น 7nm and below: 77% Other Metrics: ๐Ÿ”น EPS: $4.31 per ADR (Est. $3.83) ๐ŸŸข ๐Ÿ”น Operating Margin: 60.3% (Est. 58.6%) ๐ŸŸข ๐Ÿ”น Net Profit Margin: 55.6% ๐Ÿ”น Wafer Shipments: +16.6% YoY; +3.9% QoQ ๐Ÿ”น North America: 78% of revenue ๐Ÿ”น ROE: 45.9% ๐Ÿ”น OpEx: 7.8% of revenue ๐Ÿ”น Inventory Days: 87; +7 days QoQ ๐Ÿ”น VIS Share Gain: $2.00B 2026 Outlook: ๐Ÿ”ธ N2 ramp expected to dilute gross margin by 3-4 pts in 2H26. ๐Ÿ”ธ Overseas fabs expected to dilute gross margin by 2-3 pts initially and 3-4 pts in later stages. ๐Ÿ”ธ Long-term revenue CAGR remains around 25%, while AI accelerator revenue CAGR remains in the high-50s%. US Expansion: ๐Ÿ”ธ TSMC announced an additional $100B investment in Arizona. The additional commitment lifts TSMCโ€™s total US investment plan to $265B. ๐Ÿ”ธ The eventual US footprint could reach 10 fabs and 2 advanced-packaging facilities. ๐Ÿ”ธ The four new facilities are expected to focus on 2nm logic, although the final mix could shift to three logic fabs and one packaging plant. ๐Ÿ”ธ Construction timing remains undisclosed and will depend on market conditions.
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