Tariffs are not the story! Since Trump took office in Jan 2025, the 10-year yield has dropped from 4.79% to 4.17%. Look how much it’s dropped today! That 0.62% drop may not sound like much—until you realize the U.S. has $36.5 trillion in debt. This is stealth refinancing on a historic scale. Lower yields = trillions in interest savings. More breathing room. Less inflationary pressure. And the market is front-running it. Everyone’s watching tariffs. But this yield curve shift? It’s the real game. Trump isn’t just cutting spending— he’s restructuring America’s balance sheet in real time.

Tariffs are dumb. We’re not going back to making toasters in Toledo. But if they crush yields and we refi $30T of debt just 100bps cheaper, that’s $300B+ a year in savings. Corporates have largely extended their debt maturity profile and maybe it’s time for Bessent to do the same. Stocks? They can be juiced anytime with a surprise cut or QE. So maybe it’s not totally dumb. How am I wrong?

Tariffs raise costs for businesses and consumers alike. When imports get more expensive, companies pass that extra cost onto YOU in the form of higher prices. The result? Less purchasing power, fewer jobs, and a weaker economy. Contact your member of Congress and let them know tariffs will cost American families, workers, and small businesses! Learn More: https://t.co/IEGV2Jw4ke #tariffs# #TariffsCostUS# #TradeConnectsUS#

Tariffs = Job Loss Tariffs don’t just raise prices, they kill American jobs. Tariffs force layoffs & slow hiring. When tariffs increase costs, businesses either raise prices or cut expenses, often by laying off workers or freezing hiring. Learn more: https://t.co/IEGV2Jw4ke #TariffsCostUs# #tariffs# #tradeconnectsus#

Tariffs = Trade Wars When the U.S. imposes tariffs, other countries hit back with their own tariffs. The result? A trade war that hurts American businesses, workers, and consumers. Instead of protecting us, tariffs trigger costly trade wars that make life harder for everyone. Learn more: https://t.co/IEGV2JvwuG #TariffsCostUs# #tariffs# #tradeconnectsus#

Tariffs = Higher Prices for YOU! Tariffs are hidden taxes on imported goods that businesses pass on to you, the consumer - making everyday essentials more expensive. 🔹More Expensive Groceries 🔹More Expensive Electronics 🔹More Expensive Cars Learn more: https://t.co/IEGV2JvwuG #TariffsCostUs# #tariffs#

Tariffs hurt manufacturing jobs. They raise costs, reduce demand, invite foreign retaliation, and push jobs overseas or into automation. Tell Congress: Tariffs backfire on American workers. Learn More: https://t.co/8HVxrKIX8s #tariffs# #TariffsCostUS# #TradeConnectsUS# https://t.co/xdPdERqZ1E

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The Tariff Puzzle: To me the biggest mystery is this: what on Earth is the order of countries in the list? Not alphabetical, not size or trade volume, no monotonicity I can discern at least. Has anyone figured this out? Random, like much in this administration? https://t.co/3XRHJLkFSA