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Mnimiy
@Mnilax
Writing & building in prediction markets and AI | HoC @xrocket_tg, ex. KOLs @blumcrypto
加入 November 2018
239 正在关注    6.2K 粉丝
this trader hit 370/1 wl and maded $8,931 in 2 weeks. > $1,247 today > $4,318 past week > 99.7% wr. everyone trades BTC 5-min. he found a quieter edge. china weather markets. guangzhou. beijing. wuhan. that's it. his stack: > CMA api (china meteorological administration) > ECMWF for cross-check > claude reads both, compares to polymarket price > enters NO at 90-96c on outcomes already 99% confirmed > Kelly criterion sizes the bet > waits for resolution f* = (p − m) / (1 − m) best trades: - guangzhou 22°C+ no, 94c -> $1.00 ($3,200 -> $3,403) - beijing 8°C+ no, 96c -> $1.00 ($4,150 -> $4,323) - wuhan 15°C+ no, 91c -> $1.00 ($1,890 -> $2,077) each trade pays 4-10%. he runs 25-30 a day. compounds daily. curve hasn't dipped once since april. straight line up. his profile: here's the asymmetry copy traders miss: - 4 trades at 96c copied separately = +4% x 4 = +16% - same 4 stacked into one parlay = +100-300% in one position stop copying his trades one by one. stack them. do it via most consistent weather wallet on polymarket. nobody's watching him yet. don't wait until the spread closes.
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