Exactly what I've been writing and saying.
OpenAI had been gaining share since July and then Anthropic's September 22 release of Opus 5.5 won some of it back.
Competition is a good thing. Analysts need to assess product release quality and momentum from a bottoms up basis rather than blindly extrapolating with their 20-tab Excel models.
Product, product, product.
Anthropic vs OpenAI so far in 2026
- Clearly OAI got back in the game with steady gains in spend share throughout the year
- Tokens go kinda wild with the introduction of Luna + new Haiku
- Opus 5.5 reversed the trend
Sweet, sweet competition