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Milk Road Macro
@MilkRoadMacro
Helping you get smarter about macro investing. Subscribe for free to learn how global markets move Bitcoin, stocks, gold and more. By @MilkRoad
加入 June 2023
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AI infrastructure is a two year trade according to @LanceRoberts. Right now the money is flowing to the builders: - Data center construction - Energy transmission - Semiconductor chips. These companies are experiencing some of the fastest revenue growth in the market because the buildout is happening at a scale the world has never seen before. Trillions of dollars of capital chasing compute. But there's a clock running on all of it. Once the data centers are built, they're built. The construction revenue stops. The energy contracts stabilize. The chip orders normalize. The builders don't disappear but the explosive growth phase ends. And then a completely different question takes over. Who actually makes money from the AI running inside those data factories? That's a completely different set of companies and a completely different investment thesis. You need to be ready to rotate out of the builders and into the beneficiaries before that shift happens. Our analysts called $AMD, $MU and $CRDO early on the infrastructure side. They're already watching what comes next. Follow their exact portfolios for $1 at Milk Road PRO. Don't navigate this market alone, link in bio.
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This market rally is genuinely incredible. Since 1926, the S&P has averaged 12% per year. That's 1% per month. This year alone, 91% of trading days have been above that historical daily average. Half those days saw gains 2x or more above normal. In the last 26-27 trading days, 8 of them posted 1%+ gains. If 1% daily gains kept up all year, the market would triple in 12 months. Nobody expects that which means this pace can't hold. That doesn't mean a crash is coming but it's just that the current rate of increase isn't sustainable. @ricedelman
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