OECD Forecasts US 2026 Growth Of 2.2% (Vs 2.0% In June), 2.1% In 2027 (Vs 1.8%)
- World 2026 Growth Of 2.9% (Vs 2.8% In June), 3.0% In 2027 (Vs 3.1%)
- China 2026 Growth Of 4.5% (Unchanged), 4.2% In 2027 (Vs 4.3%)
- Euro Area 2026 Growth Of 1.0% (Vs 0.8% In June), 1.0% In 2027 (Vs 1.2%)
- Japan 2026 Growth Of 0.8% (Vs 0.6% In June), 0.7% In 2027 (Vs 0.8%)
- UK 2026 Growth Of 1.1% (Vs 0.9% In June), 1.0% In 2027 (Vs 1.1%)
Show more
This week's largest unlocks ↓
• Hyperliquid ($HYPE): $797M to be unlocked (4.5% of supply)
• Sui ($SUI): $9.7M to be unlocked (0.3% of supply)
• EigenCloud (prev. EigenLayer) ($EIGEN): $6.9M to be unlocked (4.1% of supply)
• Ethena ($ENA): $6.0M to be unlocked (0.4% of supply)
• GoPlus Security ($GPS): $1.6M to be unlocked (2.8% of supply)
• ZetaChain ($ZETA): $1.4M to be unlocked (2.9% of supply)
• IOTA ($IOTA): $492K to be unlocked (0.3% of supply)
• Wormhole ($W): $473K to be unlocked (0.8% of supply)
Top-3 account for 99% of the week's total.
Data: Tokenomist, Aug 31–Sep 7
Show more
CHOOSE YOUR FIGHTER
Warren Buffett vs Stanley Druckenmiller
Buffett stepped down as Charman of Berkshire Hathaway $BRK.B today. Druckenmiller has never had a losing year in more than 30 years.
Here are their full portfolios as of Q2 2026.
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY
- Apple $AAPL: 22%
- American Express $AXP: 17%
- Google $GOOGL: about 12.6% across both share classes
- Coca-Cola $KO: 11%
- Bank of America $BAC: 9.2%
- Chevron $CVX: 4.7%
- Occidental $OXY: 4.3%
- Chubb $CB: 3.9%
- Moody's $MCO: 3.7%
- Kraft Heinz $KHC: 2.6%
- DaVita $DVA: 2.1%
- Delta $DAL: 1.8%
- SiriusXM $SIRI: 1.2%
- VeriSign $VRSN: 0.8%
- Kroger $KR: 0.7%
- Liberty Live $LLYVA: about 0.6% across both share classes
- Ally $ALLY: 0.4%
- Lennar $LEN: 0.4%
- New York Times $NYT: 0.4%
- Capital One $COF: 0.2%
- Louisiana-Pacific $LPX: 0.1%
- Nucor $NUE: 0.1%
- Macy's $M: 0.1%
- NVR $NVR
- Jefferies $JEF
- D.R. Horton $DHI
DUQUESNE FAMILY OFFICE
- Natera $NTRA: 17%
- Insmed $INSM: about 5.7% in shares and calls
- Taiwan Semi $TSM: 5.4%
- Brazil ETF $EWZ: about 5.1% in shares and calls
- Amazon $AMZN: about 4.6% in shares and calls
- STMicro $STM: 4.5%
- S&P 500 Equal Weight $RSP: about 3.7% in calls and shares
- Fox $FOXA: about 2.8% across both share classes
- YPF $REPYY: 2.7%
- CDW $CDW: about 2.7% in shares and calls
- BBB Foods $TBBB: 2.3%
- Google $GOOGL: 2.3%
- Seagate blockstack:native: 2.3%
- United Airlines $UAL: 2.1%
- Sea $SE: 2.0%
- NewAmsterdam Pharma $NAMS: 2.0%
- Russell 2000 ETF $IWM: 1.9% in calls
- Sandisk $SNDK: 1.5%
- Revolution Medicines $RVMD: 1.4%
- S&P 500 ETF: 1.3% in calls
- Bitdeer: 1.2%
- CRH: 1.1%
- Delta: 1.1%
- Tesla $TSLA: 1.0% in calls
- Fluor: 1.0%
- D.R. Horton: 0.9%
- Coupang: 0.9%
- AMD: 0.8%
- Palo Alto Networks: 0.8%
- Cleveland-Cliffs: 0.8%
- Hut 8: 0.7%
- Caris Life Sciences: 0.6%
- Argentina ETF: 0.6%
- Woodward: 0.5%
- Meta: 0.5% in calls
- Nuvation Bio: 0.5%
- Protagonist Therapeutics: 0.5%
- Roku: 0.5%
- Cavco: 0.5%
- ADMA Biologics: 0.4%
- Hyperliquid Strategies: 0.4%
- Rambus: 0.4%
- Rhythm Pharmaceuticals: 0.4%
- Champion Homes: 0.4%
- Daktronics: 0.4%
- PureCycle: 0.4%
- Southern Copper: 0.4%
- Linde: 0.4%
- Entegris: 0.4%
- Teva: 0.4%
- Unity: 0.4%
- Aeva: 0.4%
- Riot Platforms: 0.4%
- Qnity Electronics: 0.4%
- Equinix: 0.4%
- Lam Research: 0.4%
- Definium Therapeutics: 0.3%
- Belite Bio: 0.3%
- 10x Genomics: 0.3%
- Wabtec: 0.3%
- Eli Lilly: 0.3%
- Xenon Pharmaceuticals: 0.3%
- Olema Pharmaceuticals: 0.2%
- Repligen: 0.2%
- Rocket Companies: 0.2%
- Baidu: 0.2%
- Arm: 0.2%
- Carvana: 0.2%
- Reddit: 0.2%
- Alcoa: 0.2%
- Thermo Fisher: 0.2%
- Danaher: 0.2%
- F5: 0.2%
- Vista Energy: 0.2%
- Skeena Resources: 0.2%
- JBS: 0.1%
- Monte Rosa Therapeutics: 0.1%
- Relay Therapeutics: 0.1%
- DBV Technologies: 0.1%
- CCC Intelligent Solutions: 0.1%
- UWM Holdings: 0.1%
- Navitas Semiconductor: 0.1%
- Solstice Advanced Materials: 0.1%
- FTAI Aviation: 0.1%
- Beam Therapeutics: 0.1%
- Aurora Innovation: 0.1%
- IREN: 0.1%
- Grupo Financiero Galicia: 0.1%
- Wave Life Sciences: under 0.1%
Both own Google, Delta and D.R. Horton. Neither owns Nvidia $NVDA.
Show more
World Currencies vs. the U.S. Dollar
One-Year Change As of June 30, 2026:
🇨🇴 Colombian peso: +19.2%
🇮🇱 Israeli shekel: +13.2%
🇭🇺 Hungarian forint: +8.9%
🇿🇦 South African rand: +8.1%
🇲🇽 Mexican peso: +7.7%
🇨🇳 Chinese yuan: +5.6%
🇦🇺 Australian dollar: +5.2%
🇧🇷 Brazilian real: +5.2%
🇲🇾 Malaysian ringgit: +3.1%
🇳🇴 Norwegian krone: +1.8%
🇨🇱 Chilean peso: +1.0%
🇪🇬 Egyptian pound: +0.8%
🇭🇰 Hong Kong dollar: +0.1%
🇦🇪 UAE dirham: 0.0%
🇶🇦 Qatari riyal: 0.0%
🇸🇦 Saudi riyal: -0.2%
🇷🇺 Russian ruble: -0.4%
🇨🇿 Czech koruna: -1.1%
🇸🇬 Singapore dollar: -1.7%
🇨🇭 Swiss franc: -1.8%
🇹🇭 Thai baht: -2.3%
🇸🇪 Swedish krona: -2.4%
🇪🇺 Euro: -3.0%
🇩🇰 Danish krone: -3.1%
🇬🇧 Pound sterling: -3.4%
🇨🇦 Canadian dollar: -4.1%
🇵🇱 Polish złoty: -4.2%
🇳🇿 New Zealand dollar: -6.8%
🇹🇼 Taiwan dollar: -8.2%
🇵🇭 Philippine peso: -8.2%
🇮🇩 Indonesian rupiah: -9.3%
🇮🇳 Indian rupee: -9.4%
🇯🇵 Japanese yen: -11.3%
🇰🇷 South Korean won: -12.6%
🇹🇷 Turkish lira: -14.6%
🇦🇷 Argentine peso: -18.9%
Source: Deutsche Bank, Bloomberg Finance LP.
Show more
US labor productivity kept rising in Q1, but more slowly. Output per hour for nonfarm workers increased at a 0.8% annual rate, down from 1.6% in Q4. Compared w/a year earlier, however, productivity was up 2.9%; the biggest gain since 2024. Productivity has been on a strong run since 2023.
JPMorgan cautions against attributing too much of this strength to AI, noting it’s still early. Still, ongoing business investment in AI could help sustain the trend.
Faster productivity growth may also be helping to contain unit labor costs, which rose just 1.2% YoY; suggesting limited wage-driven inflation pressure.
Show more
The dispersion inside the S&P 500 this year has been massive.
While 99 stocks are up more than 20%, 63 names are down at least 20%, showing just how selective this market has become.
Top movers include:
◾ $SNDK +539.4%
◾ $INTC +230.7%
◾ $AMD +107.9%
Meanwhile:
◾ $PLTR -24.0%
◾ $TSLA -6.4%
◾ $ORCL -0.8%
The S&P 500 itself? Just +8.2%.
Show more
📉 BTC’s Bull Index and Markets flip Bearish following the FED’s Hawkish turn
On this day of an FED rate hike, the first since 2023, BTC is sending a fairly negative short-term signal.
The Bull Index score has flipped back into a bearish regime.
In the space of a week, the indicator went from a bullish regime with a score of 80 to 30, a fairly pessimistic regime.
Demand is not showing up, and the profits held by the shortest-term holders are starting to dry up.
With this FED move, accompanied by a broadly hawkish tone and still no real guidance, markets are pulling back.
A risk-off environment is settling in.
The question is how long it will last, and according to the FED, inflation will be the main driver going forward.
Over the evening, bitcoin:native pulled back very slightly by 0.42%, while the S&P and Nasdaq fell 0.8%.
Logically, the bond market followed the rate hike, with the US2Y printing an incredible 2.9% move and the US10Y at 1.6%.
A decision that wasn't entirely clear on every front.
It was accompanied by a fairly short press conference from FED Chair Warsh, with direct answers that sometimes only addressed part of the questions asked.
For now, the market is responding by demanding an even higher risk premium.
Some positions may end up being unwound given the lack of short-term investment prospects.
While this tightening of liquidity suggests it will slow growth, consumption, and therefore inflation, it could also have an unintended effect.
Some companies will be forced to raise the price of their products due to higher credit and investment costs, at a time when they were already struggling with rising energy prices from ongoing conflicts, not to mention tariffs.
In short, a decision which doesn’t have unanimous support among economists, and one that won't be without short-term consequences.
Show more
EUROZONE ECB 1 YEAR CPI EXPECTATIONS JULY: 2.9% (PREV 3.0%) || ECB 3 YEAR CPI EXPECTATIONS: 2.7% (EST 2.8%; PREV 2.8%)
SOUTH KOREA'S SEPTEMBER CONSUMER PRICE INDEX ROSE 2.9% YEAR-ON-YEAR, IN LINE WITH THE FORECAST AND EASING FROM 3.10%, AND WAS UP 0.3% MONTH-ON-MONTH, WITH CORE CPI UP 2.8% Y/Y, DOWN FROM 3.4% IN AUGUST - STATS OFFICE
Show more
German inflation is heating again: headline CPI rose to 2.9% YoY in Aug from 2.8% in Jul, below the expected 3%, while core inflation held at 2.4%. The culprit is energy, up 10.5% YoY, while services eased to 2.8% from 2,9%, food from 0.4% to 0.1%.
Show more