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Foreign born population of each country : Jan 2001 Jan 2025 🇦🇹 8.7% 22.5% 🇧🇪 8.4% 20.2% 🇩🇰 4.8% 14.4% 🇫🇷 5.5% 14.0% 🇩🇪 8.9% 20.5% 🇬🇷 6.9% 11.0% 🇮🇸 3.1% 21.8% 🇮🇪 4.0% 23.3% 🇱🇺 37.5% 51.5% 🇳🇱 4.1% 16.8% 🇳🇴 4.1% 18.7% 🇸🇮 2.1% 15.5% 🇪🇸 3.4% 19.3% 🇸🇪 5.3% 20.8% 🇬🇧 4.3% 20.0% Now add children born to foreign parents and the situation looks even worse. We are living through the demographic annihilation of the people of Europe.
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I’d like to share that I’ll be leaving Bandai Namco at the end of 2025. With the TEKKEN series reaching its 30th anniversary—an important milestone for a project I’ve devoted much of my life to—I felt this was the most fitting moment to bring one chapter to a close. My roots lie in the days when I supported small local tournaments in Japanese arcades and in small halls and community centers overseas. I still remember carrying arcade cabinets by myself, encouraging people to “Please try TEKKEN,” and directly facing the players right in front of me. The conversations and atmosphere we shared in those places became the core of who I am as a developer and game creator. Even as the times changed, those experiences have remained at the center of my identity. And even after the tournament scene grew much larger, many of you continued to treat me like an old friend—challenging me at venues, inviting me out for drinks at bars. Those memories are also deeply precious to me. In recent years, I experienced the loss of several close friends in my personal life, and in my professional life I witnessed the retirement or passing of many senior colleagues whom I deeply respect. Those accumulated events made me reflect on the “time I have left as a creator.” During that period, I sought advice from Ken Kutaragi—whom I respect as though he were another father—and received invaluable encouragement and guidance. His words quietly supported me in making this decision. Over the past four to five years, I’ve gradually handed over all of my responsibilities, as well as the stories and worldbuilding I oversaw, to the team, bringing me to the present day. Looking back, I was fortunate to work on an extraordinary variety of projects—VR titles (such as Summer Lesson), Pokkén Tournament, the SoulCalibur series, and many others, both inside and outside the company. Each project was full of new discoveries and learning, and every one of them became an irreplaceable experience for me. To everyone who has supported me, to communities around the world, and to all the colleagues who have walked alongside me for so many years, I offer my deepest gratitude. I’ll share more about my next steps at a later date. Thank you very much for everything. 【Postscript】 Although I will be leaving the company at the end of 2025, Bandai Namco has asked me to appear at the TWT Finals at the end of January 2026, so I expect to attend as a guest. For 30 years I kept saying, “I’ll do it someday,” and never once performed as a DJ at a tournament event. So instead, I will be releasing—for the first and last time—a 60-minute TEKKEN DJ-style nonstop mix (DJ mix), personally edited by myself, together with this announcement. Listening to it brings back many memories. Thank you again, sincerely, for all these years. ‘TEKKEN: A 30-Year Journey – Harada’s Final Mix’ by Katsuhiro Harada 1 is on #SoundCloud# December 8, 2025 - The Final Day of TEKKEN’s 30th Anniversary - Katsuhiro Harada [日本語版 (Japanese version)] このたび、2025年末をもちまして、私はバンダイナムコを退職することにいたしました。 長く携わってきた『鉄拳』シリーズが30周年という大きな節目を迎え、ひとつの区切りとして最もふさわしい時期であると考えたためです。 私の原点は、日本のゲームセンターや、海外コミュニティの小さな講堂やコミュニティセンターで、まだ小規模なトーナメントをサポートしていた時代にあります。 アーケード筐体を自ら運び込み、「鉄拳もぜひ遊んでみてほしい」と声をかけながら、目の前の参加者と向き合った日々。 あの場で交わした言葉や空気が、私という開発者の核を形作りました。 時代が変化しても、あの経験が自分の中心にあります。 そしてトーナメントシーンが大きく成長した後も、皆さんは旧知の友人のように私に声をかけ、会場で対戦したり、バーで『一緒に飲もう』と誘ってくれました。 それらもまた、大切な思い出です。 ここ数年間、私生活においては友人達との死別があり、仕事においては、私が尊敬する多くの先輩方の引退や逝去に触れてきました。 そうした出来事の積み重ねが、私に『開発者として残された時間』について考える契機を与えました。 その過程で、私がもう一人の父親のように敬愛する久夛良木健さんにも相談し、貴重な助言と励ましのお言葉をいただきました。 この言葉もまた、今回の決断を静かに後押しするものとなりました。 そして、この4〜5年をかけて私の担ってきたすべての業務やストーリーや世界観、そして責務をチームに段階的に引き継ぎ、今日に至ります。 振り返れば、VR作品(サマーレッスンなど)や『ポッ拳』、ソウルキャリバーシリーズをはじめ、自社他社問わず数多くのプロジェクトに携わる機会に恵まれました。 いずれのプロジェクトも新しい発見と学びに満ち、かけがえのない経験となりました。 これまで支えてくださった皆様、世界中のコミュニティの皆様、そして長年ともに歩んできた仲間たちに深く感謝申し上げます。 次の歩みについては、改めて皆様にお伝えいたします。 これからも、どうぞよろしくお願いいたします。 +あとがき 2025年末をもって退職致しますが、2026年1月末のTWT FINALには顔を出してほしいと会社からお願いされていることもあり、FINALにはゲストとして顔を出すと思います。 これまで30年間『いつかやるよ』と言い続けてやってこなかったトーナメントイベントでのDJですが、その代わりとして“最初で最後のDJ風60分ノンストップ鉄拳ミックス(私による初編集DJ mix)”も、今回のポストに合わせて公開します。 ‘TEKKEN: A 30-Year Journey – Harada’s Final Mix’ by Katsuhiro Harada 1 is on #SoundCloud# 様々な思い出が蘇ります。改めて皆さんありがとうございました。 2025年12月8日 - 鉄拳30周年最終日 - Katsuhiro Harada
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$HD Q1’26 EARNINGS HIGHLIGHTS 🔹 Revenue: $41.77B (Est $41.51B) 🟢; +4.8% YoY 🔹 Adj. EPS: $3.43 (Est $3.41) 🟢 🔹 Comp Sales: +0.6% (Est +0.9%) 🔴 🔹 U.S. Comp Sales: +0.4% 🔹 Net Earnings: $3.3B FY26 Guide: 🔹 Comp Sales Growth: Flat to +2.0% (Est +1.55%) 🟡 🔹 Sales Growth: +2.5% to +4.5%, reaffirmed 🔹 Adj. EPS Growth: Flat to +4.0%, reaffirmed 🔹 New Stores: ~15 🔹 Adj. Operating Margin: 12.8%-13.0% Commentary: 🔸 “Our first quarter results were in line with our expectations.” 🔸 “The underlying demand in our business was relatively similar to what we saw throughout fiscal 2025, despite greater consumer uncertainty and housing affordability pressure.”
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The CoinDesk 20 is currently trading at 2184.2, down 2% (-44.22) since 4 p.m. ET on Thursday. One of 20 assets is trading higher. Leaders: $BNB (+0.4%) and $BTC (-1.3%). Laggards: $SUI (-6.8%) and $ICP (-5.9%).
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 美股盘前情报 | 2026年6月3日 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 来源:CNBC · Benzinga · StockTwits · The Motley Fool · TheStreet Pro · Reuters · Bloomberg · LSEG · FTSE Russell · · Yahoo Finance · The Globe and Mail 数据窗口:过去24小时(优先过去12小时) ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 【市场快照】 • S&P 500 期货:-0.3% | 纳斯达克期货:+0.4% • VIX:15.77(一年新低,中性偏低) • 恐惧与贪婪指数:66(贪婪区间) • WTI原油:约93美元/桶(伊朗紧张局势提供支撑) • 美元指数:DXY 107.2 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 【第一部分:头条新闻 — 科技/AI/半导体】  黄仁勋台北GTC(2026年6月2-3日):最大单一催化剂 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 来源:The Motley Fool · StockTwits · Bloomberg · Reuters · Yahoo Finance 等 1. MRVL +32.5%(周二)→ 创历史新高。黄仁勋在台上表示:“Matt(Murrett)正在打造下一家万亿美元公司。”MRVL今日盘前再涨+22%。 → 非英伟达定制AI芯片 = 新AI阿尔法。顶级科技基金经理Gary Black:“随着焦点转向定制AI ASIC,Broadcom和Marvell是最大赢家。” 2. AVGO Broadcom:与MRVL一起创52周新高。定制AI网络/DPU芯片在企业端份额提升。Gary Black称AVGO是“定制芯片转型的大赢家”。 3. HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise:盘前创52周新高。分析师:“AI驱动的强劲季度——股价值得更高估值。”Aruba/AI基础设施 backlog 强劲。 4. 英伟达Vera Rubin平台:今日在台北GTC宣布进入量产。下代AI数据中心GPU。NVDA盘前小幅下跌0.5%,市场正在消化MRVL/AVGO等竞争对手的狂飙。 5. 台积电ADR 创纪录新高 +2.5%。台北GTC确认与英伟达深化合作。费城半导体指数(SOX)大涨5.9%至历史新高——2026年最大单日涨幅。 6. IPG Photonics、MACOM、Amkor:黄仁勋GTC台北 keynote 后集体暴涨。AI光子学 + 先进封装 = 下一大瓶颈。 7. 特朗普行政令:政府优先获得先进AI模型使用权。StockTwits称这是“利好AI基础设施”信号。微软+英伟达合作:RTX Spark + Vera CPU用于Windows AI笔记本。本周Build 2026大会即将举行。 8. MU Micron:瑞银上调目标价至1625美元(潜在上涨超100%)。HBM内存需求进入结构性超级周期。  警示信号:Michael Burry(《大空头》)警告:AI芯片狂热距离2000年互联网泡沫峰值仅差7%。图表显示需对AI momentum股保持谨慎。散户与机构仓位出现分化。 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 【第二部分:散户情绪 — StockTwits/TradingView/WallStreetBets】  过去24小时散户最热议个股: • MRVL:StockTwits热度第一。黄仁勋点名后散户涌入,看多评论主导。“MRVL冲200美元”呼声四起。 • AVGO:定制AI芯片主题带动散户兴趣。“这是2026年的英伟达”情绪升温。 • ASTS:结束两连跌。高管集体买入提振信心。SpaceX IPO传闻带来扰动,但长期逻辑完好,散户整体看多。 • RKLB / LUNR / RDW:受SpaceX IPO猜测拖累下跌。空头认为SpaceX可能蚕食发射需求。 • META:散户视作买入机会。尽管有新订阅、裁员和云计划,股价仍落后Mag 7其他公司。“META相对GOOGL/AMZN仍便宜”。 • TSLA:SpaceX合并传闻导致回调。散户大V认为牛市情景可额外增加4500亿美元估值。 • INTC Intel:今日意外大涨。投资者提问“英特尔为什么涨?”AI PC + 代工 turnaround 叙事回归。 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 【第三部分:市场主题 — AI轮动 + 小盘股突破】  AI资金从超大盘轮动至中小盘: • 《The Globe and Mail》:2026年小盘股成为AI最大赢家 • Russell 2000小盘价值股年内跑赢成长股9个百分点 • AI狂热正驱动Russell 2000异动(Benzinga) • IWM、VTWO、URTH均闪现强烈买入信号  Russell 2000指数重构进行中:美国股市总市值达75.6万亿美元,同比增加29%。指数调整带来波动与机会。  板块轮动:能源(油价93美元、伊朗因素)+ AI半导体 + 小盘价值股领涨。防御板块(公用事业、消费必需品)资金流出。  中东局势:油价维持90-95美元区间。美国-伊朗紧张升级,能源股(XOM、CVX)获地缘溢价支撑。 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 【第四部分:重点个股 — 权威数据】  MRVL — Marvell Technology 价格:约140+美元(盘前+22%)| 52周新高 催化剂:黄仁勋称“下一家万亿美元公司” Gary Black:定制AI芯片大赢家 Morgan Stanley目标价120+美元 叙事:云端定制ASIC(谷歌TPU、亚马逊Trainium客户)。数据中心定制硅片成为长期趋势。 风险:估值偏高(PS 20倍),短期超买。  AVGO — Broadcom 价格:约220+美元 | 52周新高 催化剂:定制AI网络芯片 + VMware协同 叙事:英伟达之后第二大AI芯片公司。 风险:估值已计入强劲增长。  HPE — Hewlett Packard Enterprise 催化剂:AI驱动的超预期季度,Aruba网络与GreenLake AI服务 backlog强劲。 叙事:AI基础设施 + 边缘计算 + 混合云 = 多年增长。  TSMC 价格:446.69美元(+2.5%,纪录新高) 催化剂:与英伟达深化合作,先进制程产能成为结构性护城河。  IPG Photonics / MACOM / Amkor:GTC keynote后集体暴涨。AI光子学 + 先进封装成为新瓶颈。 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 【第五部分:美股小盘阿尔法  】  IWM — Russell 2000小盘ETF 触发:小盘价值跑赢9个百分点,AI轮动确认。 催化剂:今日ADP就业数据、本周联储讲话、6月底Russell重构完成。  FLNC — Fluence Energy(AI数据中心冷却) 触发:黄仁勋强调AI数据中心基础设施,液冷/电源成下一瓶颈。 验证:GTC后股价强势上涨,机构买入量增加。  SOXL — 半导体3倍做多ETF 触发:SOX指数+5.9%创历史新高,MRVL+32%。 风险:3倍杠杆存在衰减,仅适合短期战术操作。 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 【第六部分:宏观 + 市场结构】  今日重点事件(2026年6月3日): • ADP私营部门就业(5月)预期+18万 • ISM服务业PMI • EIA原油库存 • 联储官员讲话  主要风险: 1. 伊朗/中东升级 → 油价突破95美元 → 通胀风险 → 联储偏鹰 2. AI芯片泡沫(Burry警告)→ 板块可能出现5-10%回调 3. SpaceX/OpenAI等IPO可能抽走市场流动性 4. 对60个经济体的关税压力 5. 台海紧张导致供应链中断 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 【第七部分:机构资金流向】 • AI/基础设施:MRVL、AVGO、HPE、TSM —— 机构大量买入 • 能源:XOM、CVX —— 地缘溢价流入 • 小盘价值:IWM、VTWO —— 2026年首次显著机构轮动 • 流出:公用事业、消费必需品、REITs ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 【投资总结 — 三种情景】  牛市情景:定制AI主题延续 → MRVL/AVGO/TSM领涨 → 小盘爆发 → IWM突破250+ 催化剂:MU、AMD财报超预期 + ADP就业数据温和  熊市情景:Burry警告兑现 → AI芯片见顶 → MRVL/AVGO回调 → 纳斯达克回调3% 催化剂:ADP强劲 + 通胀升温 → 降息预期推迟  基准情景:AI基础设施长期牛市 → 半导体高位震荡 → 小盘分批轮动 → VIX维持15-18 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━  免责声明:本内容仅供参考,不构成任何投资建议。数据来源于公开英文财经媒体。历史表现不代表未来结果。投资前请咨询持牌财务顾问。
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The CoinDesk 20 is currently trading at 2142.44, up 0.1% (+2.73) since 4 p.m. ET on Thursday. Seventeen of 20 assets are trading higher. Leaders: $NEAR (+6.3%) and $ICP (+5.8%). Laggards: $BNB (-0.4%) and $CRO (-0.1%).
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The CoinDesk 20 is currently trading at 2169.26, up 0.4% (+8.61) since 4 p.m. ET on Wednesday. Thirteen of 20 assets are trading higher. Leaders: $TAO (+1.7%) and $XRP (+1.6%). Laggards: $ICP (-5.2%) and $NEAR (-1.7%).
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#China#'s value-added industrial output increased by 5.6 percent year on year in the first four months of 2026, official data showed on Monday. In April alone, industrial output grew 4.1 percent year on year, and rose 0.05 percent compared to the previous month, according to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics. The industrial output is used to measure the activity of large enterprises each with an annual main business turnover of at least 20 million yuan (about 2.92 million U.S. dollars). In terms of sectors, the value added output of the mining sector increased by 5.5 percent year on year in the first four months of the year, while that of the manufacturing sector grew by 5.8 percent. The value-added output of the electricity, heat, gas and water production and supply sectors went up by 4.5 percent, the data showed.
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📈 US Market Pre-Market Intelligence | June 3, 2026 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ Sources: CNBC · Benzinga · StockTwits · The Motley Fool · TheStreet Pro · Reuters · Bloomberg · LSEG · FTSE Russell · · Yahoo Finance · The Globe and Mail Data window: Past 24h (priority: past 12h) ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 【Market Snapshot】 • S&P 500 Futures: -0.3% | Nasdaq futures: +0.4% • VIX: 15.77 (1-year low, neutral-low) • Fear & Greed: 66 (Greed zone) • WTI Crude: ~$93/barrel (Iran tensions supporting) • Dollar Index: DXY 107.2 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 【SECTION 1: TOP NEWS — TECH/AI/SEMICONDUCTOR】 🔥 Jensen Huang at GTC Taipei (June 2-3, 2026): The Single Biggest Catalyst ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ Source: The Motley Fool · StockTwits · Bloomberg · Reuters · Yahoo Finance · BigGo Finance · Times of India · DataCenterNews Asia 1. MRVL +32.5% Tuesday → all-time high. Huang on stage: "Matt [Murrett] is building the next trillion-dollar company." MRVL premarket today: +22%. → Custom AI chips (non-NVDA) = the new AI alpha. Gary Black (top Tesla/tech fund manager): "Broadcom and Marvell are the big winners as focus shifts to custom AI ASICs." 2. AVGO + Broadcom: Hit 52-week high alongside MRVL. Custom AI networking/DPU chips gaining enterprise share. Gary Black: AVGO is a "big winner" in the custom chip shift. 3. HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise: Hit 52-week high premarket. Analyst (StockTwits): "AI-driven quarter — shares deserve a higher multiple." Aruba/AI infrastructure backlog strong. 4. NVIDIA Vera Rubin platform: Full production announced at GTC Taipei today (June 3). Next-gen AI data center GPU. NVDA stock slightly lower premarket (-0.5%) as markets digest the rally in competitors MRVL/AVGO. 5. TSMC ADR hit record high +2.5%. Deepened NVIDIA partnership confirmed at GTC Taipei. Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) surged 5.9% to all-time peak — biggest single-day move in 2026. 6. IPG Photonics, MACOM, Amkor: All skyrocketed after Huang's GTC Taipei keynote. AI photonics + advanced packaging = next bottleneck. 7. Trump Executive Order: Government gets early access to advanced AI models. StockTwits called it "pro-AI infrastructure" signal. Microsoft + NVIDIA partnership: RTX Spark + Vera CPU for Windows AI laptops. Build 2026 event this week. 8. MU Micron: UBS upgraded to $1625 target — more than 100% upside. HBM memory demand = structural supercycle. ⚠️ Warning Signal: Michael Burry (The Big Short): AI chip rally is within 7% of 2000 dot-com bubble peak. Chart suggests caution on AI momentum names. Retail vs. institutional positioning diverging. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 【SECTION 2: RETAIL SENTIMENT — STOCKTWITS/TRADINGVIEW/WALLSTREETBETS】 Source: StockTwits · TradingView News · TheStreet Pro · Yahoo Finance ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📊 Most-discussed tickers by retail (past 24h): • MRVL: Trending #1# on StockTwits. Retail piling in after Huang shoutout. Bullish comments dominate. "MRVL to $200" comments everywhere. • AVGO: Custom chip theme driving retail interest. "This is the NVDA of 2026" sentiment growing. • ASTS (AST SpaceMobile): Snapped 2-day losing streak. Top execs buying shares = vote of confidence. SpaceX IPO buzz creating turbulence but long-term thesis intact. Retail mostly bullish. • RKLB / LUNR / RDW: Slipping on SpaceX IPO speculation. Bears say SpaceX could cannibalize launch demand. Bulls watching. • META: Retail sees buying opportunity. Stock still trails Mag 7 peers despite new subscriptions + layoffs + cloud plans. "META cheap vs. GOOGL/AMZN" sentiment. • TSLA: Dips on SpaceX merger rumors. Retail influencer: "Bull case adds $450B to valuation." SpaceX IPO terms uncertainty weighing. • INTC Intel: Surprising surge today. Investors asking "why is Intel surging?" AI PC + foundry turnaround narrative returning. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 【SECTION 3: MARKET THEMES — AI ROTATION + SMALL CAP BREAKOUT】 Source: The Globe and Mail · 247WallSt · Benzinga · AInvest · TheStreet Pro · LSEG ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🚀 AI Money Rotating from Mega-Cap → Small/Mid Cap: • Small caps are AI's big winners in 2026 (The Globe and Mail, Reuters, 10 hours ago) • Russell 2000 small-cap value has beaten growth by 9 percentage points YTD • Something rare is driving the Russell 2000 — and AI is the answer (Benzinga) • AI exuberance rotating into small caps amid sticky inflation (ActionForex) • IWM, VTWO, URTH all flashing strong buy signals (MarketsHost) 📊 Russell 2000 reconstitution underway (FTSE Russell, May 22 announcement): Total US equity market cap in Russell 3000 reached $75.6 trillion — 29% increase from prior year. Major index changes creating volatility + opportunities. 💰 Sector rotation: Energy (oil $93, Iran) + AI semis + small-cap value = today's leadership. Defensive sectors (utilities, consumer staples) outflowing. ⚡ Middle East: Oil supported at $90-95 range. US-Iran tensions escalating (missiles launched toward Kuwait/Bahrain per fxstreet). Energy stocks (XOM, CVX) get tailwind. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 【SECTION 4: KEY STOCKS — PREMIER DATA FROM AUTHORITATIVE SOURCES】 Source: StockTwits · The Motley Fool · Yahoo Finance · Benzinga · TheStreet Pro ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔥 MRVL — Marvell Technology Price: ~$140+ (premarket +22%) | 52-week HIGH Catalyst: Jensen Huang at GTC Taipei: "next trillion-dollar company" Analyst: Gary Black — "big winner" in custom AI chip theme Analyst: Morgan Stanley sees $120+ target Narrative: AI custom ASIC for cloud. Google's TPUSnake, Amazon's Trainium = MRVL customers. Data center custom silicon = secular trend. Risk: Rich valuation. PS 20x. Momentum + Huang boost = near-term overbought. 📊 AVGO — Broadcom Price: ~$220+ | 52-week HIGH Catalyst: Custom AI networking chips + VMware synergy Narrative: #2# AI chip play after NVDA. Custom DPUs + networking for AI data centers. Gary Black: "big winner" alongside MRVL Risk: Valuation already pricing in strong growth 🚀 HPE — Hewlett Packard Enterprise Price: premarket +strong | 52-week HIGH Catalyst: AI-driven quarter beat. Aruba networking + GreenLake AI services. Analyst quote (StockTwits): "AI quarter — shares deserve higher multiple" Narrative: AI infrastructure + edge computing + hybrid cloud = multi-year growth Risk: Competition from Dell/Arista in AI networking 💡 TSMC — Taiwan Semiconductor ADR Price: $446.69 (+2.5% record high) Catalyst: NVIDIA partnership deepened at GTC Taipei. Advanced node capacity = structural moat. Narrative: Foundry king. AI compute demand = capacity fully booked for 2026-2027 Risk: Taiwan geopolitical risk premium always present ⚡ IPG Photonics / MACOM / Amkor Price: all skyrocketed after GTC Taipei keynote Catalyst: AI photonics (laser/optical interconnect) + advanced packaging (Amkor = chiplet packaging) Narrative: AI hardware bottleneck shifting from compute → interconnect + packaging Risk: Volatile momentum names ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 【SECTION 5: SMALL-CAP US ALPHA 🔍】 Serenity Framework: Demand → Earnings → Small-Cap Elasticity → Verification ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📌 IWM — iShares Russell 2000 ETF | Small-Cap Core Trigger: Russell 2000 hit strong buy signals; small-cap value beating growth by 9pts YTD; AI rotation into small caps confirmed (The Globe and Mail) Elasticity: Russell 2000 constituents with AI exposure = leverage to sector rotation Verification: FTSE Russell reconstitution underway; IWM options volume surging Catalyst: ADP jobs data today; Fed speakers this week; Russell reconstitution culminates end of June Risk: Rate sensitivity if jobs data hot → delay Fed cuts → small caps hurt 📌 FLNC — Fluence Energy | AI Data Center Cooling Trigger: Jensen Huang GTC keynote emphasized AI data center infrastructure at scale. Cooling/power = next bottleneck as compute density explodes. Elasticity: AI data centers need liquid cooling at scale — FLNC is leader in modular battery/cooling systems Verification: Stock up strongly post-GTC keynote. Institutional buying volume rising. Catalyst: Next earnings — watch backlog. If backlog grows >40% YoY = confirm supercycle thesis. Risk: Competition from Schneider Electric / Vertiv 📌 SOXL — Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Trigger: Philadelphia Semiconductor Index +5.9% to all-time high. TSMC record. MRVL +32%. AI chip theme = institutional inflow. Elasticity: 3x leveraged ETF = amplified move in semiconductor sector Verification: SOXL options activity spiking. Retail interest elevated (StockTwits trending). Catalyst: Any NVIDIA/AMD/MU earnings beat = SOXL pops 5-8% same day Risk: 3x leverage = decay risk. Only for short-term tactical use. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 【SECTION 6: MACRO + MARKET STRUCTURE】 Source: Bloomberg · Reuters · fxstreet · LSEG · FTSE Russell ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📅 Today's Key Events (June 3, 2026): • ADP Private Sector Employment (May) — consensus: +180K • ISM Services PMI (May) — flash PMI showed expansion, services follow-up • EIA Weekly Crude Inventory • Fed speakers: likely to maintain data-dependent stance • GTC Taipei keynote continues (NVIDIA ecosystem announcements) ⚠️ Key Risks: 1. Iran/Middle East escalation → oil spike >$95 → inflation risk → Fed hawkish 2. AI chip rally froth (Burry warning) → sector could see sharp 5-10% correction 3. SpaceX/OpenAI/Anthropic IPO timeline: Standard Chartered warns "market oxygen being sucked out" when these hit 4. Tariff fatigue: Section 301 tariffs on 60 economies (forced labor) could hit supply chains 5. MU/TSMC: Any supply disruption from Taiwan Strait tension = semiconductor sector crash ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 【SECTION 7: INSTITUTIONAL FLOWS】 Source: LSEG · FTSE Russell · Bloomberg ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ • AI/Infrastructure: MRVL, AVGO, HPE, TSM — HEAVY institutional accumulation • Energy: XOM, CVX — inflows on oil geopolitics premium • Small-cap value: IWM, VTWO — first real institutional rotation signal of 2026 • Outflows: Utilities (XLU), Consumer Staples (XLP), REITs — rate sensitivity • Crypto/Fintech: COIN, SQ — mixed; Bitcoin holding $95K support ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 【INVESTMENT SUMMARY — 3 Scenarios】 🔵 Bull Case: AI custom chip theme continues → MRVL/AVGO/TSM lead → small caps catch fire → Russell 2000 breaks out → IWM $250+ Catalyst: MU earnings beat, AMD data center beat, ADP jobs soft (Fed cuts priced in) 🔴 Bear Case: Burry warning correct → AI chip rally peaks → MRVL/AVGO reverse → Nasdaq -3% correction Catalyst: Strong ADP + hot inflation → rate cut timeline pushed out → small caps get crushed 🟡 Base Case: AI infrastructure secular bull → semis consolidate at high level → small caps rotate in/out in tranches → VIX stays 15-18 Catalyst: No major catalyst → range-bound S&P 500 with sector divergence ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Data sourced from public English-language financial media (CNBC, Bloomberg, Reuters, StockTwits, Benzinga, The Motley Fool, TheStreet, LSEG). Historical performance does not guarantee future results. Consult a licensed financial advisor before investing.
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Leopold Aschenbrenner's 13F finally dropped and X is already full of the DUMBEST interpretations possible! Please read this. 1. The 13F shows what the fund held as of quarter-end: March 31. 2. A huge part of the positions are PUTS. Does this mean he's bearish today? -> WE DON'T KNOW! Everyone is just guessing. It is completely possible that he bought those puts during the quarter as the Iran war escalated, to hedge, and they increased a ton in value. They might have started as small positions that simply grew a lot. He might have sold them at the exact bottom, perfectly timed the market, and gone 100% long for the massive rally that started on April 1. OR he was insanely bearish, bought a lot of puts, kept them, and completely screwed up by being massively positioned in puts before the craziest rally ever. He could have made the most genius move or the dumbest move possible and now look like an idiot. WE DON'T KNOW. This is the issue with such delayed reports. But of course today, you will see everyone on X go crazy with: "Leopold went short aaaaaaaaaaah, the sky is falling, he's calling for a crash." But that was months ago, in the middle of the Iran volatility! We have no idea if he added to his puts or if he's currently 100% long or maybe even bought calls?! We don't know if his move was good or bad. So while you're reading all these takes on X today, know that you're going to read a ton of complete nonsense from people who have no idea what they're talking about. But here are some things that stand out to me! While he decreased his $BE exposure, Bloom Energy was still his biggest position (6.4%) Closely followed by $SNDK (5.3%) He also cut $CRWV from 8% -> 4% I honestly can't believe he missed $NBIS so badly. He also reduced his $IREN position from 6% to 3% (even though he net added shares). Big $CORZ cut aswell from 7.6% -> 3% HUGE cut in his $CRWV calls from 14% -> 1% A lot of $TE investors are getting excited he built a position, which is definitely bullish, but it's worth mentioning that was most likely before the big drop after the disappointing earnings and it's a tiny 0.3% position for him. One of the funniest positions is a 0.15% $GLW Put lol. 100% / Completely went out of: $INTC Calls (13.5% -> 0%) $CIFR (2.8% -> 0%) $EQT (2.4% -> 0%) Photonics: $LITE (8.6% -> 0%) That one is super interesting to me. Also cut $TSEM and $COHR from 1.5% -> 0%
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