THE 10 RULES THAT CATCH BIG REVERSALS This was my talk from the ‘26 @smbcapital conference where I dive deep into my framework for capitulation trades. An honor to be part of the event w such incredible speakers & attendees!

Guests visiting for Jeff Holden's Trader Development SMB Inside Access meeting today at 11AM. Jeff shared the importance of adding new strategies to your PlayBook and how our traders do @smbcapital

Love seeing my talk from the SMB Capital Summit crush it on YT! Every year a bunch of the talks from the @smbcapital conference go viral. The attendees and environment are even more amazing in-person. Get your butt there live next year!

AnotherBall $16M Debt Financing Round⚡️ 📑 About: @anotherball_jp is a virtual entertainment platform for VTubers, avatars, and digital creator ecosystems. 🤝 Investors: Mizuho Financial Group, MUFG, @smbc_midosuke, and Shoko Chukin Bank

Want to know how elite traders catch massive, high-reward reversals without blowing up their accounts? Hint: They don’t blindly short every stock making new highs or try to catch falling knives [03:24]. They wait for true capitulation—where forced market structure, margin calls, and pure exhaustion create historic imbalances [00:15, 34:16]. @theonelanceB took the stage at the SMB Trading Summit to break down the mechanics of one of his most profitable trading setups: The Capitulation Fade. Lance was an 8-figure-a-year producer when trading full-time. Today, he mentors traders on our desk, steps in part-time to trade the biggest asymmetric opportunities, and directs his incredible philanthropic work through the Impact Competition. When a former 8-figure trader reveals his exact 10-variable mental checklist, you grab a notebook and pay attention [04:33]. Here are the heavy-hitting lessons from Lance’s masterclass: Trade the "Right Side of the V": Amateurs jump in front of trains trying to guess the exact top or bottom [03:24]. Elite mean-reversion traders let the euphoria or panic happen, wait for the turn, and execute on the backside of the move [00:46]. Slope Over Distance (The Asymptote): It’s not about how far a stock runs—it’s the rate of change [05:33]. Linear moves can trend for months and bust short sellers [06:24, 07:49]. You want an asymptotic, parabolic curve where price accelerates into a vertical wall [05:49, 06:52]. Extreme Extension From Equilibrium: Lance uses Bollinger Bands (2 standard deviations off the 20-period moving average) as a visual ruler for price expansion [09:37]. The further price stretches away from the moving average, the bigger your potential reward back to equilibrium [10:48]. Never Fade Day 1 Fresh News: Fresh news means a fundamental repricing—equilibrium has changed [12:03, 12:30]. Lance avoids fading fresh catalysts; his biggest edge is when price goes parabolic days after the news on pure emotion and technical momentum [11:55, 15:48]. Wait for Later Legs & Massive Volume: The biggest capitulations occur on 3+ consecutive extended legs and multi-day runs [08:31, 19:20]. Watch for volume that completely dwarfs historical averages, signaling that participants are getting aggressively flushed out [16:38, 18:08]. Boring > Speculative: A diversified giant (like Berkshire Hathaway or an entire index like the Nikkei) that panics on noise has massive institutional gravity pulling it back to fair value [30:04, 32:10]. A beaten-down microcap biotech can easily go straight to zero [30:35]. Spot the Footprint of Forced Liquidations: When a stock goes 9x higher and someone is stubbornly bidding millions of shares on the tape at the highs, they aren't buying because they want to—they're buying because their broker is liquidating them on margin [36:33, 36:53]. When that forced buyer breaks, the bottom falls out [37:30]. Trading is a challenging sport, but edge in this game isn't found by spraying and praying across 50 different charts. Real edge comes from stacking significant variables in your favor and having the supreme patience to strike only when the market is completely unhinged. Study the nuances, respect your capital, wait for the market to prove the turn, and get your work done! #DayTrading# #PropTrading# #SMBCapital# #TradingStrategy# #RiskManagement# The 10 Rules That Catch Big Reversals (BEFORE They Happen) via @YouTube