$SNDK
Citi expects enterprise SSD demand to rise 52.9% in 2027 and 41% in 2028, with total SSD demand up 45%. NAND demand grows 29% in 2027 and 33% in 2028 against supply growth of 21% and 25%, pushing the supply-demand ratio from −0.8% this year to −6.1% in 2027 and −5.5% in 2028.
Expects industry NAND wafer capacity to grow only 3.2% in 2027, with Samsung's NAND capacity actually falling 4.7% as it redirects resources to DRAM and HBM, and SK hynix and Micron roughly flat. That's the mechanism behind the deficit: demand up 29%, wafers up 3%, with the gap covered only by process migration.
Citi expects the tightness to persist until 2031, with DRAM deficits of −8.7% and −9.7% in 2027 and 2028 alongside the NAND numbers.
And projects NAND average selling prices up 45.3% in 2027.
Bullish for $SNDK
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Samsung’s enterprise SSD line just did a memory-cycle print.
TrendForce says eSSD sales jumped from $1.9 billion in Q2 2025 to $14.35 billion in Q2 2026. That is more than seven times. Share ticked from 34.6% to 35.1%, still first.
The mix is the point. 176-layer QLC volume rose hard. PCIe 5.0’s slice of shipments jumped with it.
North American clouds are moving racks from PCIe 4.0 to 5.0.
In July Samsung started PCIe 6.0 PM1763, aimed at NVIDIA’s Vera Rubin platform.
Omdia puts the whole eSSD market at about $24.1 billion last year and about $154 billion this year, a six-times jump. Agents and bigger data-center builds keep the storage pipe next to the GPU.
Samsung is selling the bundle: HBM plus NAND SSDs to the same server buyer. That is why eSSD can print like DRAM this year.
Capacity still has to follow price. A seven-times revenue jump on one product line does not last if wafers stay parked on HBM.
Citi sees AI driving enterprise SSD demand up 53% in 2027 and another 41% in 2028 as KV-cache offloading pushes more high-capacity storage next to GPUs.
NAND demand is also expected to outgrow supply by ~25% which should keep pricing strong for $MU, $SKHY and $SNDK.
Engrams Embedding Entendre:
Codesign for Efficient DRAM/SSD Offloading
New Model Architecture Implications for TAM
of DRAM/NVMe, DeepSeek V4.1 Flash,
AgentX, InferenceX, NVMe experiments
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