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🇺🇸 GDP
The tailwind from financial conditions has faded, and is expected to become a headwind for US growth in 2027
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h/t @GoldmanSachs $spx #spx# #bonds# #dollar# #fedfunds# #GDP#
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Fed's Logan: Accommodative policy is adding to inflationary pressures; the real Fed funds rate is 78 basis points, data suggest.
Fed Funds Futures Gain As December Rate Hike Odds Ease To 70%
Fed funds futures rarely matches the actual outcome DB
*FED HIKES 25 BPS DOT PLOT SIGNALS MORE TIGHTENING AHEAD
Fed funds rate: 3.75–4.00%
2026 median rate: 4.1% vs. 3.8% previously
2027 median rate: 4.1% vs. 3.6% previously
2026 core inflation: 3.4% vs. 3.3% previously
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Effective Fed Funds Rate 3.88% November 5 vs 3.88% November 4.
Effective Fed funds rate 3.88% November 3th vs 3.88% November 2nd.
Effective Fed funds rate 3.88% November 2nd vs 3.88% October 30th.
Effective Fed Funds rate 3.88% October 30th vs 3.88% October 29th.
US Fed Funds Futures Rise Further, December 2027 Contracts Gain 9 Basis Points as Rate Peak Expectations Ease