ISABELNET
@ISABELNET_SA
Advanced Stock Market Forecast for Professionals & Individuals available on • 95% Correlation since 1970 • R² = 0.90 • Tweets ≠ Advice
20.8K Following 68.5K Followers
🇺🇸 SPX
Three Tuesdays ago, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was bullish well before the opening bell, and the S&P 500 didn't disappoint, ending the day up 1.79%.
The model gauges if the market is leaning bullish, bearish or neutral.
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📌 Read the Daily Blog on the Website
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📌 Flows
Government bonds continue to draw strong investor demand, offering relatively attractive yields while interest rates stay high
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@DeutscheBank #moneymarket# #cash# #money# #bonds# #equity#
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🇺🇸 Recession
At just 13%, market-implied recession odds for the next year are below the long-term average, pointing to a supportive risk backdrop
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@GoldmanSachs $spx #spx# #bonds# #stocks# #equity# #vix#
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📌 Equity
At the 58th percentile, consolidated equity positioning is modestly overweight but far from crowded, leaving room for investors to add risk
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h/t @DeutscheBank $spx #spx# #sp500# #equity# #stocks#
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🇺🇸 Valuations
The S&P 500 equal-weight index trades at 16 times forward earnings, versus 20 times for the benchmark. It is hardly cheap, but the discount makes it look more attractive
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@GoldmanSachs $spx #spx# #stocks# #equity# #stockmarket#
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📌 Equities
Asset managers are piling into S&P 500 futures longs, pushing net exposure to elevated levels. The bet is straightforward: more upside. The risk? Any reversal leaves little cushion
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@GoldmanSachs $spx #spx# #sp500# #MSCI# #equity# #futures#
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🇺🇸 Buybacks
While the pace of new S&P 500 buyback announcements has cooled in the past few weeks, overall buyback activity in corporate America remains firm, providing steady support for stocks
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@DeutscheBank $spx #spx# #sp500# #buybacks# #stocks# #equity#
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📌 Insiders
Corporate insiders are stepping back into the market, sending the Insider Transactions Ratio into bullish territory. The renewed buying gives bulls another reason to stay optimistic
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#insider# $ndx $spx #spx# #stocks# #equity#
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🇺🇸 S&P 500
Goldman Sachs is holding its call for earnings to propel the S&P 500 to 8,000 in 2026, implying a 17% annual return even if the path remains bumpy
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@GoldmanSachs $spx #spx# #sp500# #stocks# #equity#
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🇺🇸 S&P 500
The S&P 500 typically rises during the first four weeks of earnings season, loses steam in the weeks that follow, and regains momentum as the next reporting cycle approaches
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h/t @dailychartbook $spx #spx#
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🇺🇸 S&P 500
At 71.51, the S&P 500 is slightly overbought. Sentiment remains bullish, and no major technical breaks have emerged. More volatility may be ahead
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h/t @LanceRoberts $spx #spx# #sp500# #stocks# #equity#
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📌Subscriber Access
The #stockmarket# bull and bear indicator, the short- & long-term forecasts, the #valuation# & ERP charts have been updated on
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#valuations# #markets# #investing# #equity#
#sp500# #nasdaq# #dow# #dowjones# $djia $spx #spx# $spy #stocks#
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🇺🇸 S&P 500
Last Friday, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was bullish well before the opening bell, and the S&P 500 followed through, ending the day up 0.43%.
The model gauges if the market is leaning bullish, bearish or neutral.
Subscribe on👉
Show more
📌 Read the Daily Blog on the Website
👉
📌 Hedge Fund
Hedge funds cut exposure aggressively in July, triggering one of the sharpest de-grossing episodes of the past decade and a steep selloff in their most popular positions, particularly in AI, semiconductor and momentum stocks
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@GoldmanSachs
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🇺🇸Valuations
The appetite for risk has not faded. The Russell 2000 trades at 25 times forward earnings, above the Nasdaq 100 at 23 times & the S&P 500 at 20 times. Valuations look stretched, but equity inflows show little sign of slowing
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@GoldmanSachs
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📌 Gold
Gold ETFs are back on investors' radar as retail demand improves, central banks continue accumulating the metal and the macro backdrop remains favorable
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@GoldmanSachs $gold #gold# $gld #gld# #GDX# $GDX
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🇺🇸 VIX
The market's summer calm can disappear quickly. From late July into the fall, volatility often returns and US stocks face a bumpier ride. Historically, the VIX tends to rise during this period
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h/t @Callum_Thomas $VIX $spx #spx#
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🇺🇸 S&P 500
The S&P 500 Seasonal Composite still points to more upside for 2026, but the path could get choppy. US stocks are entering their weakest seasonal stretch, which typically runs from mid-August to early October
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h/t @dailychartbook $spx #spx#
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