ISRAELI MILITARY OFFICIALS: NO REASON TO STRIKE IRAN BEFORE U.S. ELECTIONS Senior Israeli military officials say there is no reason to attack Iran before the U.S. midterms unless they detect preparations for an Iranian missile launch. According to Israeli journalist Yossi Yehoshua, officials also deny that Trump blocked an Israeli strike, saying no attack was being planned. Israel did raise its military alert level in coordination with heightened U.S. readiness.

Arbitrum blocked new Stylus activations on One and Nova over AI-assisted attack risks. Existing programs and Solidity contracts can still run. Arbitrum says no attack enabling theft of user funds has been discovered.

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The White House confirms it: Iranian plots to kill American officials are in “advanced stages,” the threat is the highest of the war, and every indicator says the shooting restarts before the midterms Nearly every embassy in the Middle East is being emptied as a direct result of the intelligence, troops are off the bases in Jordan, Qatar and Kuwait, three carriers are closing on the Gulf, and US strikes have already hit IRGC launchers on the Hormuz coast three times this week without a word from CENTCOM. Trump’s promise was no attack before Nov. 3. The military is moving like that promise expired. Forget the post-election window everyone has been reporting. Washington doesn’t evacuate diplomats for a strike it plans to launch in three weeks; it does it for one it expects to answer for in mere days. The Guard, broke and down to speedboats and hit squads, has decided its best shot is to start the next round before America picks the time. Source: New York Times / CBS News / Writer: Daniel

why is the market so fucked? well here’s what happened in the last 18 hours (GMT) lol: > 23:24: Axios says US military told to prep for strikes. Trump weighing timing before the midterms > 07:28: Maersk emergency fuel surcharge going to 20% from 12 Oct > 07:33: explosions across Riyadh > 10:00: Brent +4.2%. stocks & bonds both dumping > 12:35: Houthis claim ballistic missiles at Riyadh airport (again) > 16:23: Reuters: Trump says Iran talks are "productive" & no attack before the 3 Nov midterms From escalation to TACO within 18 hours. The bad bit is this means inflation is going to remain sticky and yields will remain high whilst the market remain sore… in its bum… until Trump calls off strikes after the midterm and this ends.

🔥🚨 BREAKING — President Trump just posted that the blockade stays, the oil is moving, and the U.S WILL NOT STRIKE Iran until after the Midterms. “We are having productive discussions with the Islamic Republic of Iran. I want to make it clear to everybody that, while Iran is in very bad condition, both Economically and Militarily. “and while the Blockade will remain in full force and effect, with Oil flowing in Record Numbers of Barrels through the Hormuz Strait (22 Million Barrels, last night alone, with not one barrel coming from, or going to, Iran!)” “we will not be attacking Iran at any time prior to the Midterm Elections to be held in the United States on November 3rd. IRAN WILL NOT HAVE A NUCLEAR WEAPON!” Productive talks. A regime in bad shape on both ledgers. The blockade still on, and 22 million barrels through the strait last night with none of them Iran’s. No attack before the midterms. The nuclear line did not move. Talks are open.