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Googly 👀
@0xG00gly
Building: @plasma | Trading & Angeling: @apg_capital
1.6K Following    15.7K Followers
Saw a lot of bad takes on Tether’s Q2 results, some quick thoughts: - Headline loss of -$4.2bn is almost entirely M2M on gold, BTC and public equities (incl. XXI) rather than the underlying stablecoin business model - Net operating profit of $1.5bn shows the strength of the stablecoin business: 4% running on $140bn of T-bills and repos with a very small cost base - Equity movements from the parent for the second quarter in a row. The issuer was historically paying hefty excess profits to the parent (both due to operating income + BTC/XAU going up) so this is the first time capital has flowed the other way. Two takeaways: capital is fungible inside the group (am expecting $20bn+ of retained earnings at the parent) either in cash or in kind (the parent has a lot of investments), and there's a clear willingness to keep USDT overcollateralised, albeit buffer smaller than historically. Tether bought the dip: +1,796 BTC (+1.9%) +14 tons of gold (+10.6%) Tether's balance sheet mix keeps shifting. BTC is now only 3% of assets vs. 10% for gold. Secured loans are down from the 2025 peak of $17bn to $13.5bn: likely the least liquid asset on their books, but imo good quality as collateralised with BTC and to a lesser extent XAUT: may reflect either less demand for leverage in the broader crypto ecosystem or Tether shifting to a more liquid balance sheet. One last change I don't think anyone noticed: minimum ratings for repos have reduced by one notch down to A-3. Cantor is rated F3 with Fitch (which is equivalent to A-3) so the change could have been done to allow them as a counterparty. m2c.
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