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rari
@0xwhrrari
ai | prediction markets | solo setups dm always open... 444
Joined July 2023
136 Following    2.5K Followers
A CHINESE GUY JUST OUT-CODED EVERY QUANT INTERN AT JANE STREET Not with a hedge fund Not with a Bloomberg terminal With Python, scikit-learn, and a Mac Mini in his bedroom A friend forwarded me his screen recording at 2am The kid is running ml_strategy.py on a fresh terminal Accuracy on the output: 57% If you don't trade, that number looks like a coin flip If you do, you just sat up in your chair > Casinos run the entire planet on a 51% house edge > Renaissance Technologies built a $130 billion fund on 50.75% > This guy is sitting on 57% on a script he wrote himself Here's how he got there He doesn't use RSI. He doesn't use return lags. He doesn't use any of the indicators every $200/mo Telegram channel sells you. He uses three boring features the algos at the top desks actually use: > volatility > momentum > z-score That's it. That's the whole signal stack. He pipes them through logistic regression and a random forest, votes them against each other and only takes the trade when both agree. Walk-forward Sharpe lower than the static one - and the script prints that out loud. No grifter on this app does that. Ever. He runs the whole thing on a single Mac Mini. No GPU. No cloud. No paid data feed. Just yfinance, scikit-learn and a coffee mug next to the keyboard. The recording cuts to the trade log. 93 trades last month. 54 winners. 39 losers. Net up. Calmly. Quietly. Like a machine. Bookmark it before the alpha closes.
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