PlanB
@100trillionUSD
All models are wrong, some are useful. DYOR! 👉
Joined October 2017
160 Following 2.2M Followers
#bitcoin# 2024: $100k, $1mln or $10mln?
Logarithmic
+ best data fit
- overfits 2010 (Satoshi only miner, no markets)
- shape inconsistent with S-curve
Exponential
+ good fit
+ doesnt overfit
- endless growth
Logistic
+ formal S-curve
+ exponential till 25% adoption, then levels
Show more
