AI can now generate novel viruses WHY THIS MATTERS: 1) Crazy people COULD use AI to make superviruses NOW, but most of them are idiots 2) Dario Amodei thinks in 6-12 months, even idiots may be able to 3) In 6-12 months, the world could shut down. You die. Your family dies. 4) This is a SUPER OBVIOUS risk unless you think AI progress is just going to magically stop soon 5) Maybe it's not 6-12 months, maybe it's 12-36 months, but... so what?? That's barely any time to prepare! 6) Yes, AI could accelerate defense faster. COULD. We shouldn't bet civilization on that. Yes, AI could make vaccines, but historically it's wayy harder to make vaccines than viruses - and you need to actually make billions of vaccines, distribute them to billions of people, etc. That takes a long time! A virus could easily infect the world before that happens! 7) This industry remains less regulated than a taco cart. Big AI has staved off regulation using the Big Tobacco playbook.