Adam Livingston(@AdamBLiv):🔥BITCOIN AND MSTR ARE PRIMED FOR MEGA EXPLOSION🔥 The last time Bitcoin’s 200-day moving average crossed below its 200-week moving average, BTC was $20,590. Exactly 492 days later, it reached $73,121, a 255.13% return. If Bitcoin traded flat until the averages crossed again around November 2 and then repeated that move, it would reach approximately $226,029. Now let’s apply that Bitcoin scenario to MSTR. Strategy does not need to buy another Bitcoin for MSTR to reach $447.61. Here is the deliberately brutal underwriting: Bitcoin: $63,785 → $226,029 Bitcoin held: 843,775 → 843,775 mNAV: 1.0378x → 1.0378x New Bitcoin purchased: Zero Preferred dividends: $3.35 billion, funded by selling MSTR shares. MSTR begins at $96.24. Bitcoin repricing adds $244.80 per share. Strategy’s debt and preferred claims are fixed in dollars. As Bitcoin appreciates, those claims collapse from 284,630 BTC-equivalent to 80,322 BTC-equivalent. That fixed-claim compression adds another $124.61 per share. Funding the preferred dividends increases shares from 384.6 million to 400.1 million and subtracts $18.03 per share. The bridge: $96.24 +$244.80 from Bitcoin repricing +$124.61 from claim compression −$18.03 from dividend dilution =$447.61 Despite the dilution, common-equity sats per share rise from 145,386 to 190,820. That is a 31.3% increase without acquiring another satoshi. Bitcoin returns 254.4%. MSTR returns 365.1%. The same $1 becomes $3.54 in Bitcoin or $4.65 in MSTR. That is 110.7 percentage points of outperformance with zero mNAV expansion, zero new Bitcoin purchases and billions fed into the preferred-dividend furnace. The asset is Bitcoin. The liabilities are fixed in dollars. One side of the balance sheet is chained to the floor while the other is attempting to leave the atmosphere:

2026.07.29 18:26

🔥BITCOIN AND MSTR ARE PRIMED FOR MEGA EXPLOSION🔥 The last time Bitcoin’s 200-day moving average crossed below its 200-week moving average, BTC was $20,590. Exactly 492 days later, it reached $73,121, a 255.13% return. If Bitcoin traded flat until the averages crossed again around November 2 and then repeated that move, it would reach approximately $226,029. Now let’s apply that Bitcoin scenario to MSTR. Strategy does not need to buy another Bitcoin for MSTR to reach $447.61. Here is the deliberately brutal underwriting: Bitcoin: $63,785 → $226,029 Bitcoin held: 843,775 → 843,775 mNAV: 1.0378x → 1.0378x New Bitcoin purchased: Zero Preferred dividends: $3.35 billion, funded by selling MSTR shares. MSTR begins at $96.24. Bitcoin repricing adds $244.80 per share. Strategy’s debt and preferred claims are fixed in dollars. As Bitcoin appreciates, those claims collapse from 284,630 BTC-equivalent to 80,322 BTC-equivalent. That fixed-claim compression adds another $124.61 per share. Funding the preferred dividends increases shares from 384.6 million to 400.1 million and subtracts $18.03 per share. The bridge: $96.24 +$244.80 from Bitcoin repricing +$124.61 from claim compression −$18.03 from dividend dilution =$447.61 Despite the dilution, common-equity sats per share rise from 145,386 to 190,820. That is a 31.3% increase without acquiring another satoshi. Bitcoin returns 254.4%. MSTR returns 365.1%. The same $1 becomes $3.54 in Bitcoin or $4.65 in MSTR. That is 110.7 percentage points of outperformance with zero mNAV expansion, zero new Bitcoin purchases and billions fed into the preferred-dividend furnace. The asset is Bitcoin. The liabilities are fixed in dollars. One side of the balance sheet is chained to the floor while the other is attempting to leave the atmosphere:

Adam Livingston@AdamBLiv

2026.07.29 17:29

🚀BITCOIN IS GOING TO ABSOLUTELY MOON🚀 The last time Bitcoin’s 200-day moving average crossed BELOW its 200-week moving average, every chart goblin on Earth began measuring the coffin. Bitcoin was $20,590. Exactly 492 days later, it reached $73,121. That was a 3.55x. A 255.13% return. Today: Bitcoin: $63,647 200-day SMA: $71,729 200-week SMA: $63,552 The averages are now $8,178 apart and converging rapidly. If Bitcoin traded completely flat, they would cross around November 2, 2026. Only then would the historical clock begin. Apply the previous move over the exact same 492-day window following that crossover: $63,647 → $226,029 November 2, 2026 → March 8, 2028 History owes us nothing. But the last time this “bearish” crossover appeared, Bitcoin had already finished digging the grave, buried the sellers inside it, and quietly installed a launchpad over the cemetery. Sometimes the death cross is the starting gun:

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