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Ben Bajarin
@BenBajarin
CEO & Principal Analyst @creativestrat. Full-stack tech analysis from silicon to markets. Advisor to tech leaders. Technologist at heart. Keeper of Bees.
Joined April 2008
2.3K Following    49.5K Followers
On the potential of an NVIDIA HBM downspec (option) Our model suggests that a broad HBM downspec across NVIDIA’s Rubin portfolio could support roughly 30% to 50% more GPU shipments from the same available pool of HBM bits, assuming CoWoS and compute-die supply keep pace. If those GPUs are deployed, power becomes the next question. A 30% to 50% uplift on roughly 7 million Rubin units across 2027–2028 would add 2.1–3.5 million GPUs. At 2kW per accelerator, that implies roughly 4–7GW of incremental ex-China chip-level power demand across the two years, or about 2–3.5GW annually if deployment is evenly split. Current assumption right now in accelerator forecast, is we need to energize (global ex-China) 26 GW in 2027 and 32-35GW in 2028.
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