Caleb Franzen
@CalebFranzen
Founder of Cubic Analytics.
677 Following 63.4K Followers
There is nothing wrong with this Bitcoin decline.
I hesitate to even call it a "decline" because it's so normal.
Allow me to explain...
I've added Bitcoin's 1 & 2-year moving averages:
🟢 52-week EMA
🔵 104-week EMA
The chart speaks for itself.
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Repeat after me... price is truth.
The secret to investing is simpler than you think.
"We want to own uptrends as much as possible, and we want to own as little of downtrends as possible."
Caleb Franzen says his superpower is letting data, not ego, change his mind. He flipped bearish at $97K, and now he's flipping bullish again. The framework never changed.
FT @CalebFranzen @BitcoinJesusETH @Nexo.
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Shut your mouth.
I’ve never felt this bullish in my entire life.
The irony is (and has been) that expanding breadth & increasing participation in the stock market is actually the bearish signal.
Just look at today's price action...
The S&P 500 is down -0.65% & the Nasdaq-100 is down -1.56%...
Meanwhile, the equal-weight S&P 500 is up +0.5%.
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This is Bitcoin relative to the S&P 500 (IBIT/SPY).
It's retesting its 200-day MA cloud as dynamic support.
Scared?
Here?
Couldn't be me.
This was a great interview. I will re-watch this a few times.
Please panic so I can buy more corn.
Big month coming up at Real Vision...
Our trading competition kicks off on October 19th. Its open to anyone with a free membership. You post three trade ideas inside the platform, the market scores them, and you can win up to $100K in prizes.
But we're not throwing you in cold. Next week we're running two days of workshops with myself @Jamie1Coutts @CalebFranzen @NathanBiyond @CryptoWithKris @AndreasSteno @PeterLBrandt @forexstophunter
Plus youll get a free trading agent to use throughout the whole competition.
Nothing to lose and a lot to learn… see you in there.
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I've been looking forward to having my friend @CalebFranzen back on @milkroaddaily for months, and he definitely delivered.
We break down why he's not worried about macro, why he flipped bullish on Bitcoin, where he's looking to accumulate on this dip, and how his strategy for altcoins is different than bitcoin:native .
Absolutely, loved this one. Full of great insight and charts. Glad to talk to my buddy again.
WE'RE BACK!! 🚀
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So much alpha in this it's a joke.
You're welcome... in advance.
Bitcoin may have quietly flipped back into a bull market.
@CalebFranzen turned bearish when BTC lost $97K. Now he’s bullish again after BTC reclaimed its 200-day trend and triggered a rare momentum signal.
His line in the sand? ~$71K.
Above it, he’s looking for new highs. Below it, the thesis breaks.
FT @BitcoinJesusETH
⏱ TIME POINTS ⏱
00:00 - Intro
01:08 - Why $97K Turned Him Bearish
03:42 - The Signal That Flipped Him Bullish
06:01 - Get Milk Road PRO for $1
06:16 - This BTC Signal Is Extremely Rare
08:31 - Can One Candle Predict What’s Next?
10:45 - Why Bitcoin Keeps Failing at $87K
13:53 - Where He’s Buying Bitcoin
17:21 - Are Altcoins Finally Waking Up?
19:47 - Is ETH/BTC Finally Breaking Out?
22:34 - Sponsor: Nexo
23:10 - Can Macro Kill the Bull Market?
27:20 - Are Rising Yields Actually Bullish?
28:22 - 50–75% in Bitcoin
31:25 - $71K or $205K?
33:19 - When Will He Buy Altcoins?
34:58 - Follow Caleb Franzen’s Research
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Bitcoin may have quietly flipped back into a bull market.
@CalebFranzen turned bearish when BTC lost $97K. Now he’s bullish again after BTC reclaimed its 200-day trend and triggered a rare momentum signal.
His line in the sand? ~$71K.
Above it, he’s looking for new highs. Below it, the thesis breaks.
FT @BitcoinJesusETH
⏱ TIME POINTS ⏱
00:00 - Intro
01:08 - Why $97K Turned Him Bearish
03:42 - The Signal That Flipped Him Bullish
06:01 - Get Milk Road PRO for $1
06:16 - This BTC Signal Is Extremely Rare
08:31 - Can One Candle Predict What’s Next?
10:45 - Why Bitcoin Keeps Failing at $87K
13:53 - Where He’s Buying Bitcoin
17:21 - Are Altcoins Finally Waking Up?
19:47 - Is ETH/BTC Finally Breaking Out?
22:34 - Sponsor: Nexo
23:10 - Can Macro Kill the Bull Market?
27:20 - Are Rising Yields Actually Bullish?
28:22 - 50–75% in Bitcoin
31:25 - $71K or $205K?
33:19 - When Will He Buy Altcoins?
34:58 - Follow Caleb Franzen’s Research
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The economy doesn't need to be strong to make money.
@calebfranzen's read on it right now: "It's not perfect. I wouldn't even go as far as to say it's super strong."
But he's still bullish:
1. He doesn't trade the economy, he trades prices
2. The economy doesn't need to boom. It just needs to support the bullish conditions already showing up
3. Strong data can still burn you. The trend is what matters
Caleb's rule: the economy tells you if a move is possible, and the chart tells you if it's actually happening.
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The Dow Jones will make new all-time highs soon.
Here's how I know...
The top chart is the Dow Jones relative to long-term Treasuries (DIA/TLT), which is making new all-time highs.
Add the actual Dow Jones to the bottom and we see that it follows suit.
See you at new highs!
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Livestream.
Q&A session.
Today.
10am ET.
Invitations will be sent shortly.
Ohhhh noooo my Dollars are worth more relative to other global currencies while stocks are at all-time highs and Bitcoin has re-entered a new bull market, what am I possibly going to do?!
Ladies and gentlemen...
The Nasdaq-100 $QQQ
They will invent new copium soon... just wait.
Imagine how mad the bad breadth bears will be when we hit more new highs? We aren't too far away from finding out.
This chart will shock you... no tricks or gimmicks.
🔵 30-year Treasury yield (rhs)
🟠 Bitcoin's price in USD (lhs)
Local highs/lows occurring simultaneously since Feb.'26.
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New all-time highs for growth stocks $VUG:
