Trump's Beijing visit rerated the Taiwan weight a lot: now Taiwan is officially a very good negotiation chip for him (his own word lol)
No US president since the Chinese Civil War has negotiated Taiwan arms sales with Beijing. When a "non-negotiable" red line becomes a line item on the table this tells you a lot abt the new geopolitical power dynamics. Welcome to the transaction era
maybe im overthinking here ... The Taiwan talk just got very, very different. Trump's China visit (Mar 31) was locked before Operation Epic Furry.Then Khamenei dies 3 weeks prior.. timing seems to be too convenient to be accidental. This is a major trigger to tests Xi's response model before the visit to position pre-negotiation: China's entire asymmetric play was built on Iran escalation optionality. That card is now gone. Trump basically said "Your Belt and Road ally is decapitated. Now let's talk about trade/Taiwan"