TLDR:
@Strategy / $STRC aren't dying.
Apyx’s argument is that the market is misreading the discount to par.
Obviously, the trading discount to par shows stress, but this isn't the same thing as a death spiral, aka Luna.
Strategy is also using the dividend lever to pull STRC back toward par, with the payout being raised to 12%, effective July 1, 2026.
> Most importantly, the bond market has not priced
@Strategy like a distressed asset.
Converts are trading around $86 to $102, with a blended coupon of just 0.515%.
One question to consider is now around $BTC volatility.
→ Can bitcoin stay down long enough for fixed carry to become the problem (~ $1.76B per year)?
If BTC stays weak into the 2027 and 2028 convert maturity wall, pressure will build.
But if $BTC turns before then, the whole stack re-rates together:
STRC, STRF, STRD, STRK, and MSTR equity.
I still think the market is blowing this out of proportion.