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🤯Japan's life insurers are sitting on massive bond losses:
Unrealized losses on domestic bonds at Japan's major life insurers surged +60% YoY to a record ~$194 billion in Q2 2026.
This is surpassing their unrealized gains on domestic stocks, which rose +48% YoY to ~$190 billion.
This comes as 30-year JGB yields rose to ~4.0%, close to the highest level on record since the bond was introduced in 1999.
This is up ~2.7 percentage points from July 2023, when insurers' combined position last flipped from gains to losses.
Nippon Life and Meiji Yasuda already booked $280 million and $160 million in impairment losses, respectively, last quarter, after some bonds bought during the late-2010s low-rate era breached the threshold requiring recognition.
Policy cancellations are the bigger risk, since a wave of surrenders could force insurers to sell bonds still classified as held to maturity to fund payouts.
Sony Life's cancellation rate rose to 1.4% in Q2, while T&D Financial Life's climbed to 1.56%, partly driven by Yen depreciation prompting cancellations of foreign-currency policies.
Japan's insurers are facing massive unrealized losses as bond yields surge.