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Gracy Chen @Bitget
@GracyBitget
Former TV host turned #BTC# #BGB# hodler | World traveler ✈️ | CEO at @bitget 🫡 | Writing daily #crypto# insights with tips on personal growth ✍️ | NFA & DYOR
Joined April 2016
1.6K Following    284.9K Followers
上周参加MIT的活动时看到一张挺有意思的图,想跟大家分享一下。 这张图来自@nberpubs的工作论文《Intelligence and the Labor Market》,展示的是不同薪资分位岗位的AI暴露程度。 整体来看,岗位薪资越高,受到AI影响的程度通常也越高。但到了收入最高的前10%左右,这条曲线反而开始下降。 这里需要说明,AI exposure并不等于“被AI取代的概率”。它更准确地反映的是,一个岗位中的工作任务有多大程度可能被AI改变、辅助或自动化。 但这张图还是让我想到一个很现实的问题: 在AI时代,为什么很多高薪知识型岗位会受到更大影响,而真正处于顶尖位置的一小部分人,反而可能更难被替代? 我的理解是,越往上走,一个人的价值就越少来自“把任务完成得更快”,而更多来自几件事: 👉能不能提出真正重要的问题 👉能不能在信息不完整时作出判断 👉能不能协调不同团队、资源和利益关系 👉能不能在关键时刻承担责任 👉能不能让别人相信并愿意跟随你的方向 对高级管理者来说,AI时代真正需要完成的,可能是几个转变。 1️⃣ 从“高端执行者”变成“全局编排者” AI和团队都可以成为你的执行系统。管理者的价值,不是亲自完成每一项任务,而是定义问题、判断优先级、识别风险,并把分散的产出整合成真正有商业价值的结果。 2️⃣ 建立对组织和人的深度理解 AI拥有大量公开知识,但它并不了解一家公司内部真实的文化、历史、信任关系和利益结构。 它很难知道董事会真正担心什么,客户没有说出口的需求是什么,也未必明白为什么一个理论上正确的方案,在某个组织里就是推不动。这些判断力,只能来自长期参与真实的谈判、协作、冲突和危机处理才能培养出来。 3️⃣ 用AI扩大自己的管理半径 过去,管理者大量时间都花在汇报、沟通、纠错和重复协调上。当AI能够处理更多基础分析、信息整理和流程工作,一个管理者就可以同时看更多项目、理解更复杂的数据,并把精力放在更重要的决策上。 真正善用AI的管理者,未来可能可以覆盖过去一个小型事业部才能管理的业务规模。 4️⃣ 强化那些AI可以增强、但无法真正拥有的能力 判断力、同理心、说服力、信任和领导力,反而会变得更重要。 当越来越多工作被自动化,现实中的人际情感连接反而会变得更加稀缺。团队在面对AI带来的不确定性时,需要的不只是效率工具,也需要有人去解释方向,建立信心,带领团队一起往前走。这是AI不能取代的人文关怀。 所以我越发觉得,AI时代所谓的“不可替代”,并不是你比机器做得更快,而是你能不能做到机器无法独立完成的事: 👉 理解复杂的人,判断模糊的现实,然后带领大家走向一个还没有标准答案的方向。
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Last week, I came across a really interesting chart at an MIT event and thought it was worth sharing. The chart comes from the @nberpubs working paper Artificial Intelligence and the Labor Market. It looks at how exposed different jobs are to AI across wage levels. The general pattern is quite clear: the higher the salary, the more exposed the job tends to be to AI. But once you get to roughly the top 10% of earners, the curve starts to come down. One important clarification: “AI exposure” does not mean the chance of being replaced by AI. It is more about how much of a job could be changed, supported or automated by AI. Still, the chart made me think about a very practical question: Why are so many well-paid knowledge jobs highly exposed to AI, while the small group of people at the very top may actually be harder to replace? My view is that the higher you go, the less your value comes from simply doing tasks faster. It increasingly comes from whether you can: 👉 Ask the questions that really matter 👉 Make decisions with incomplete information 👉 Align different teams, resouraces and interests 👉 Take responsibility in critical situations 👉 Earn trust and get people to follow a direction For senior leaders, I think the AI era requires a few important shifts. 1️⃣ Move from high-level executor to organizational orchestrator AI and your team can both become part of your execution system. A leader’s value is not in personally completing every task. It is in defining the right problems, setting priorities, spotting risks and turning scattered outputs into something that creates real business value. 2️⃣ Build a deeper understanding of people and organizations AI has access to huge amounts of public knowledge, but it does not truly understand the internal culture, history, trust and power dynamics of a specific organization. It may not know what the board is really worried about. It may not understand what a client wants but has not said. And it may not see why a solution that looks completely logical on paper simply will not work inside a particular company. That kind of judgment comes from years of real negotiation, collaboration, conflict and crisis management. 3️⃣ Use AI to expand your management capacity A lot of a manager’s time used to be spent on reporting, communication, corrections and repetitive coordination. As AI takes on more basic analysis, information processing and workflow tasks, leaders can oversee more projects, understand more complex data and spend more time on the decisions that actually matter. A leader who uses AI well may eventually be able to manage a scale of business that previously required an entire small division. 4️⃣ Strengthen the abilities AI can support, but cannot truly own Judgment, empathy, persuasion, trust and leadership will become even more important. As more work becomes automated, genuine human connection may become more valuable, not less. When teams are dealing with uncertainty caused by AI, they need more than efficiency tools. They need someone who can explain the direction, build confidence and lead people forward together. That human side of leadership is still very difficult to automate. The more I think about it, the more I believe that being “irreplaceable” in the AI era is not about doing the same work faster than a machine. It is about being able to do what a machine cannot do on its own: 👉 Understand complex people, make sense of an uncertain reality, and lead others toward a future where there is no standard answer.
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