42's underdog market for the World Cup is one of the most lopsided I've watched on the platform. Total market cap: $201. Japan holds $97 of it - half the entire market sitting on one outcome at a 1.2x payout. > Japan: $96.91 mcap, 1.2x potential > Tied: $22.32, 5.3x > Korea / Scotland / Uzbekistan / Bosnia / Cabo Verde - all clustered around $12 mcap, 9.6x potential each > Ghana / Jordan: $10, 11.2x > the bottom 8 outcomes combined hold less mcap than Tied alone I'm in Japan. but the structural read is more interesting than my position. Most prediction-market campaigns price favorites and ignore everything else. On a bonding-curve protocol, the underdog cluster reprices on every group-stage matchday. One upset, one player injury, one knockout-round surprise - the math shifts across the whole curve. This is the part of an event trading protocol that doesn't exist on a fixed-odds book. Settlement is 24 days away. The token curve for every underdog will be repriced six or seven times before then. 24 days. One resolution. Dozens of repricings.