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Michael Guo
@Michaelzsguo
Building AI agents and AI-native orgs. Demystifying AI in practice. EN/中文 (Selected build notes, experiments, and practical tips at the website link.)
434 Following    12.1K Followers
Binance just published a detailed RFO/RCA report on the October 29 cyberattack that resulted in $6.34 billion in stolen crypto assets. The attack started with a tampered developer tool and a fake job interview, then escalated through compromised laptops, internal AI tooling, and stolen credentials to reach Binance's wallet-signing infrastructure. One of the best incident reports I've ever read, especially considering it was shared publicly on a platform like X. We all go through cybersecurity training every year, but this is a powerful reminder that the scenarios covered in those sessions actually happen in real life, with very real consequences. Highly recommended. Share this with your team.
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The answer may lie right here: leadership stability.
A must-read account from FTX’s former COO and a key witness who tells the story from the inside. Netflix is making The Altruists, a series about FTX and Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF). Whatever people think of SBF, he clearly had an eye for some remarkable investments. Just look at what he and his firms backed: Anthropic: $500M invested. At its reported $2T IPO target, FTX’s former 7.84% stake would imply a value of $156.8B. Cursor: $200K invested for a reported 5% stake. SpaceX acquired it for $60B, implying $3B for that original stake. SpaceX: $190M invested, worth approximately $3.3B at today’s valuation. Robinhood: Roughly 55.3M shares, worth about $6B at today’s share price. Solana: 41M SOL tokens, with a market value of approximately $4.5B at today’s price. These positions were sold during FTX’s bankruptcy proceedings. Picking winners and being someone people can trust with their money are two very different skills.
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So many people have DM’d me about this trailer and I’ll be honest, watching it made me physically throw up. I was COO from before FTX even had a name, it was my baby, and I was the last one out of the Bahamas after Sam got extradited. I lost everything I had on it and it took me a long time to get over, so I have zero interest in defending the people who caused this. The media loves the story that FTX blew up because we were all partying in the Bahamas, but the place I worked looked nothing like that. We had under 200 people in the core company at its peak, not counting subsidiaries, when other exchanges our size had thousands, so a lot of us were doing 16 to 18 hour days for over three years and barely had time to sleep, and whenever we walked in, day or night, Sam was at his desk. I worked with Caroline and never once saw her get aggressive like she does in this trailer. She’s quiet and mild, and often lost in her own thoughts. Most of us didn’t even know she and Sam were dating until we read about it after the bankruptcy, and I never saw him so much as put an arm around anyone. FTX’s collapse ruined so many people’s lives, including ours, and Netflix decided to make it a love story. Shame on you @netflix.
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The answer may lie right here: leadership stability.
@Muse learned a new trick tonight: email triage with Jev, TypeSafe’s System One model. For now, it’s still in eval mode. The setup is simple: Jev takes two things, the state (the email: sender, subject, body) and the criteria (my written definitions for each category). Emails are sorted into four categories: needs action, newsletter, worth a glance, and noise. Every email gets classified twice, once by Muse and once by Jev. I only review the disagreements, and my decisions become the ground truth. Then I rewrite Jev’s category criteria and re-score.
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I think computer use will be a key area of innovation for AI agents. As Pine’s Dylan Wang points out, today’s computers were built around how humans use them. Agents spend a lot of effort looking at screens, clicking, and figuring out what changed. Pine Computer changes that by giving the agent its own cloud workspace, with the OS and browser reporting changes directly. That could make computer use faster and less costly, and give agents more room to focus on the actual task.
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AI is already smart enough. Real-world tasks are still slow, expensive and unreliable, because we hand AI a computer built for humans, then wrap it in a heavy harness. AI doesn’t need to get smarter. It needs a computer built for it. Today we’re releasing Pine Computer
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Without going back to watch it again, tell me: how many different T-shirts did Diogo wear in the video?
launched a model accidentally served trillions of tokens a day 29.4% of the fortune 500 showed up raised a really big series A from @a16z it's been 3 weeks we would like to sleep now
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@Muse learned a new trick tonight: email triage with Jev, TypeSafe’s System One model. For now, it’s still in eval mode. The setup is simple: Jev takes two things, the state (the email: sender, subject, body) and the criteria (my written definitions for each category). Emails are sorted into four categories: needs action, newsletter, worth a glance, and noise. Every email gets classified twice, once by Muse and once by Jev. I only review the disagreements, and my decisions become the ground truth. Then I rewrite Jev’s category criteria and re-score.
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Great that Sebastian helps explain recurrent transformers more clearly. It’s not a “new” technique, as others have been using it too. ByteDance, for example, has reportedly used a similar approach. And no, it doesn’t “suppress” the CoT, as some have claimed.
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A lot of hype around OpenAI's Astra model here on my timeline today. Apparently, this goes back to a new article from The Information, which said Astra is a "recurrent depth or looped transformer". It's always interesting to read about new or different approaches (including rumors about what the closed labs may be up to), but let's debunk this a bit. About 2 months ago, I shared the architecture details of Nanbeige, for example, where "Nanbeige4.2-3B is pretrained from scratch on 28T tokens with a Looped Transformer that reuses the layer stack to increase capacity without adding parameters." Yes, that's it. The looped transformer idea is just reusing layers in the transformer block. In the case of Nanbeige, the main idea is to reuse the same 22-layer stack (=transformer block) twice instead of once. So, effectively it extends the 22-layer architecture to 44 layers, but without duplicating the weights. In simple terms, this roughly doubles the size of the model (if we ignore the embedding and output layers for a second). But instead of requiring 2x the storage and RAM to host this model, it stays at the same size since we reuse the components. However, it's almost 2x as expensive in terms of compute, because we run the embedded text through almost 2x as many layers. Why? In the Nanbeige 4.2 technical report, the researchers found that two passes gave the best trade-off and retained about 75% of the token efficiency of a standard architecture. (More passes gave barely any gains but made the training much slower and much more expensive.) While, as far as I know, Nanbeige 4.2 is the first notable open-weight model that adopted this approach, the idea goes back to the NeurIPS paper "Mixture-of-recursions: Learning dynamic recursive depths for adaptive token-level computation". Actually, this paper proposes a mechanism that is a bit more sophisticated by adding a learned router that determines whether each token receives one, two, or more passes. So, easy tokens can exit early while harder tokens receive additional computation. In sum, Astra may be a really good model, but this shouldn't be about this "looped transformer aspect," which is just a tiny architectural tweak. Also, the statement "the new technique works in a way that obscures some or all of the AI's reasoning, otherwise known as 'chain-of-thought'" is not necessarily true with respect to the looped transformer method. It's possible that The Information journalist refers to some other technique or misunderstood the looped transformer method. Reusing layers does not by itself suppress visible chain of thought. It adds computation in hidden states before the next token is emitted, just as ordinary transformer layers do. But based on the information we have, the only plausible interpretation here is that if a model uses more of these recurrent passes, it may need to generate fewer intermediate reasoning tokens. So then more of its computation happens in latent activations that cannot be read as text. But we would get the same effect if we were scaling up the model size, like GPT 5.6 Luna -> GPT 5.6 Sol.
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Apple is also using lake America
Another big difference between Apple Maps and Google Maps. See it yourself
DeepSeek Harness has reached 207.4K GitHub stars and taken the #1# spot among agent harnesses. It has nearly doubled its star count in just half a month.
DeepSeek Harness 发布短短两天,GitHub Star 已经突破 10 万。 它已经远远超过存在时间更长的 Qwen Code,也超过了非常受欢迎的 Pi,甚至已经超过 OpenAI Codex。 目前前面只剩 OpenCode。 更夸张的是,这些项目大多已经积累了几个月甚至更长时间,而 DeepSeek Harness 只用了两天。 以目前这个势头,超过 OpenCode,恐怕也是指日可待。
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Asking for a friend: does the two-pizza team rule still apply in the AI era? I mean, everyone is saying that now everyone becomes a manager, managing a team of AI agents. But according to the two-pizza team rule, your team should be small enough to be fed with two large pizzas. So what happens when one person may be directing 10, 20, or even more agents at once as they claimed?
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wait, grok bot did that? very cool
Two months ago I was testing Grok @imagine to make the Battle of Red Cliffs (赤壁之戰). Now in Grok @bot you can spin up a director, screenwriter, music producer, and cinematographer to create a cinematic movie trailer in one shot. Attached the only prompt I gave to Grok @bot and the rest was autonomous.
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Another big difference between Apple Maps and Google Maps. See it yourself
Where’s the reset, @thsottiaux ? Should I wait, or just use the reset credit? Waiting online. Urgent! 😂
Looking at the dashboard we might hit a new milestone to celebrate tomorrow. Hold on to your Codex
This almost suggests OpenAI’s next frontier model, Astra, will arrive before November 12. If Astra is one of the reasons OpenAI is breaking with Cursor, and November 12 is the latest date OpenAI is contractually required to keep providing models to Cursor, then the logic is pretty clear: OpenAI wants to keep honoring the existing contract for as long as possible, but not long enough for Cursor to get access to Astra.
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We’re ending our partnership with Cursor following its acquisition by SpaceX. Under our proposal, Cursor’s direct access to our models would end on November 12. We know that the people most affected by this decision are the developers who rely on OpenAI models in Cursor. We care about their experience in this transition and we’re ready to go above and beyond to support them.
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