Bitcoin is a very atypical asset. Most returns are concentrated in a few days. Miss them and you may never catch up.
Here be Dragons: Bitcoin isn’t a Gaussian asset. Its returns are fat-tailed (to the right), volatility comes in regimes, and price moves are prone to discontinuities. Much of the risk is concentrated in short, nonlinear bursts rather than distributed smoothly through time. This is typical for assets still in their early price discovery stages (yes, it's early).
TL;DR: Years of pain. Days of glory.
HODLing bitcoin is an exercise of patience.
Today I'm officially opening up
You should not have to rely on narratives alone to understand Bitcoin. Data is power.
This started as a stack of scripts and analyses I'd built up over the years for my own work. AI made it possible to consolidate them into a clean UI without spending another two years on it.
The result is Elektronics: hundreds of charts, calculators, and simulators across the network, the price, the hardware, the miners, and the public equities.
Note: this is a hobby project and in beta. Verify the numbers. Use at your own risk.
It’s now open to anyone who wants to understand Bitcoin with better data. I’ll walk through it in this thread.. [1/n]