Some extremely hot takes: 1. I’ve been saying for months (and still think) that the CCP is growing concerned about AI misuse risk—and so Chinese labs are likely to restrict access to their frontier releases, for exactly the reasons Anthropic outlines. 2. Ironically, Anthropic publishing this blog could meaningfully *push back* the timeline of when Chinese models get restricted, or deter the CCP from taking action to begin with. It backs Chinese AI developers into a corner and risks an unintended Streisand Effect, which could make China double down on its existing open-source posture. If American executives really are concerned about the democratization of destructive cyber capabilities from Chinese open-weight models, probably the best course of action is to shut up about them—and let China’s security services arrive independently at the inevitable policy conclusion.