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Schulz Duggan
@Schulz_Research
Independent AI supply-chain research: optics, memory, power. Asia and US filings in the original, translated into pricing. The chokepoints nobody prices in.
Joined January 2026
61 Following    1.5K Followers
$SKHY closed down 3.89% in Seoul on Friday. Its Nasdaq ADS, $SKHY, is up 1.67% as I write, on the same calendar day. Same company, 5.6 percentage points apart, and neither tape is wrong. What Seoul was pricing: KOSPI down 1.8% to 6,909.91, under 7,000 for the first time in three sessions. Samsung Electronics 005930 KS down 4.09%, SK Hynix 000660 KS down 3.89%, SK Square 402340 KS down 5.20%. The Korean press put the blame on the overnight Wall Street session, on Brent at $107.95, and on a US ten-year approaching 4.97% while the Middle East conflict dragged on. Then about twelve hours passed. US August CPI came in on consensus, 3.4% headline unchanged and core down to 2.4%. Crude gave back 2.8%, with Brent at $104.57 as I write. The ten-year sits at 4.95%, roughly flat on the day. Seoul closed before any of that existed. It priced the fear version of Friday. New York got to price the resolution version of the same Friday, and the two versions are 5.6 points apart on one company. This is not an arbitrage. The time difference is structural, the ADS only listed on Nasdaq in July, and it trades nothing like the depth of the Seoul line. But it is the cost of information arrival, and it is unusually legible today because we can see both quotes on the same date. The rest of the New York session ranks cleanly in one direction. Semiconductors $SMH +2.10%, technology $XLK +1.58%, industrials $XLI +1.23%, Nasdaq 100 +1.14%, S&P 500 +1.05%, small caps +0.62%, software $IGV +0.31%, cybersecurity $CIBR +0.02%. Hardware that ships this quarter at the top, cash flows that arrive later at the bottom. The curve says the same thing from the other end. $SHY down 0.08% at the front, $IEF down 0.04% in the belly, $TLT up 0.27% at the long end. Short end sold, long end bid. That is the shape of a market pricing a hike, and futures have the 16 September move at about 71%, up from 61% before Thursday's producer prices. Which makes Friday two different trades stacked on one date. Asia traded the macro at its worst reading of the week. America traded it after the print that settled it, and after crude broke. And in memory specifically, the split inside New York is its own story: $SIMO +9.42% and $SNDK down 3.16% on the same afternoon, controller silicon and the flash itself moving opposite ways. What would change my read: Monday in Seoul. If Korean memory gaps up to catch what New York did on Friday, this was purely the clock. If it keeps falling, then the Korean tape was pricing something New York is not, and the candidates there are the won, domestic policy, or a view on memory pricing that the US names do not share yet. One session is one session, and I would not build a position on a single day's dislocation.
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