SmartX(@SmartXTerminal):Two markets are pricing the same Fed meeting and they disagree. CME FedWatch has a 25bp increase at 51.9%. Our book has it at 41.6%, with no change ahead at 57%. Ten points apart on the September 16 FOMC. Neither side is pricing a cut. If you think the rate traders are right, that side is on sale.

SmartX

@SmartXTerminal

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SmartX@SmartXTerminal

2026.08.11 09:12

Two markets are pricing the same Fed meeting and they disagree. CME FedWatch has a 25bp increase at 51.9%. Our book has it at 41.6%, with no change ahead at 57%. Ten points apart on the September 16 FOMC. Neither side is pricing a cut. If you think the rate traders are right, that side is on sale.