(((The Daily Shot)))
@SoberLook
The Daily Shot is a graphical, no-hype global financial and economic newsletter (see sample:
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The 45-day correlation between high-beta and low-volatility stocks hit the most negative level on record.
Source: @JeffWeniger
The rise in US yields since Chair Warsh’s first FOMC meeting has been driven primarily by a higher term premium, while yield increases in other countries have been driven more by rising rate expectations.
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🇺🇸🇨🇦 The US imports more goods from Canada than from China.
The mismatch between the number of home sellers and home buyers has completely flipped since the 2021–2022 period.
Source: Redfin via @JeffWeniger
🇯🇵 Nominal JGB yield is now well above Japan's dividend yield.
🇺🇸 US high-frequency dashboard, composed of daily and weekly economic indicators (updated as of Aug. 21, 2026).
#economy#
Equity factor premiums can remain negative for years.
Source: @jonkeetz
The composition of the EM equity index has shifted significantly over the last 15 years.
Source: Capital Group
Analysts expect hyperscaler EBITDA margins to rise to roughly 50% by decade-end from about 30% in recent years, a critical assumption underpinning AI capex economics.
Source: @PeterBerezinBCA, @bcaresearch
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Vietnam's economy has outperformed its Southeast Asian peers since 2021.
US national debt has surpassed $40 trillion
Source: Reuters
Stocks in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) fell to their lowest level since the end of 1982.
Youth unemployment in the UK has overtaken that of the EU.
Source: @economics
China’s output per hour is just 23% of US levels, leaving substantial scope for productivity convergence.
Source: @PeterBerezinBCA, @bcaresearch, “What Really Ails China” (August 2026)
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The forward P/E of the largest 10 companies in the S&P 500 has converged to that of the remaining companies.
Source: J.P. Morgan via @MikeZaccardi
Federal debt has consistently defied CBO forecasts.
Source: Martin Barnes, BCA Research, “Stranger Things” (August 2026)
Since the launch of ChatGPT, the S&P 500’s inflation-adjusted revenue per worker (a proxy for efficiency) has inflected higher. The small-cap universe is seeing the opposite trend.
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🇺🇸 US high-frequency dashboard, composed of daily and weekly economic indicators (updated as of August 14, 2026).
#economy#
Momentum stocks are now cheaper than the market based on forward P/E.
Source: J.P. Morgan Research
Euro area banks are financially stronger than a decade ago.
Source: @PantheonMacro
