It has led to the biggest moves we've ever seen. This is every time the 50SMA has been reclaimed on TOTAL, from market bottoms. It has never dropped afterwards. It has always gone higher. 2020 is also on this list, but can't fit on the chart. It's the same situation though. So the last 4, and only 4 times this has happened, every single time, it has gone much higher, without any downside, until much higher up. This isn't my opinion, it is just the data. Would it be smart to bet against this? Any betting shop would give you absolutely terrible odds if you bet on this happening again, because it's highly likely it does. The only outcome we have ever had from the 50SMA being reclaimed, is instantly higher. I have no idea if it will do it again this time, but the odds are incredibly in that favour. Don't fight the trend.

The bear final boss is losing the fight. There is 1 hour 45 minutes until the weekly close, and as things stand, without some big liquidation drop, the 50SMA is gonna be reclaimed. For the first time since losing it in November 2025. It sits at $78,803. Every single time, without fail, when the 50SMA has been reclaimed, it has marked the start of Bitcoins largest pushes. In addition, every single time it has been reclaimed, it has only moved higher. Never has it been reclaimed, and the price retrace, at all, actually. Just look at the QT post i shared. As I always say, none of this means that this time cannot be different. Things can always happen for the first time. However, basing your thesis on something that has NEVER happened before, when there is very clear data of it NOT happening 4x already, is simply dumb. Investing is about probabilities. The probability is wayyyy in the bulls corner now. A clean break of this level has always provided fast moves higher. Let's see if this will be the same.

This is the nail in the coffin for the bears. As long as BTC closes above $78,900 in 14 hours, it will have closed: - 1W candle above the 50SMA - 3 daily candles also above it The 50SMA is the bear final boss. It has been in every single bottoming cycle. The price does not push up and above the 50SMA, from oversold conditions, especially on the weekly, if it is in-fact, weak. It just doesn't happen, and has never happened. We have never had a period where Bitcoin closes 3 days above it, and makes any kind of low next. It has always pushed higher. None of this means that this cannot happen for the first time, this time. We may still drop lower after this - I have been eyeing $70k - $73k for a while... But now we are up at this level, around the weekly close, it does change things. Going off all of the data we have, Bitcoin closing above $78,900 this week has historically, 100% of the time, meant that we push much higher. The main thing to take away from this is not that prices will never ever drop again. But what it does, very very likely mean, is that downside is limited. Be prepared for all outcomes, but ignoring very key data like this is, is not smart. Even if we drop below $78,900 in 14 hours, i dont think it changes much. Every single time we have come up to the 50SMA, from oversold, we have always reclaimed it and pushed higher. A rejection today only delays the inevitable in my opinion. And all the data we have proves that. You do not need to overcomplicate it.