Jurrien Timmer(@TimmerFidelity):For now, I am giving this cyclical (and secular) bull the benefit of the doubt, assuming (hoping?) that the stellar earnings momentum is not about to mean-revert. I suspect that the “melt-up” phase of this bull (since April 2025) may have ended in early June, but perhaps that is just a pause in the momentum during the seasonally weakest timeframe (July-October). I’ll stick to my 60/20/20 playbook, which has held up quite well, even though it diversifies away from the mega cap theme.

Jurrien Timmer

@TimmerFidelity

Dir. of Global Macro @Fidelity. Student of history, chart maker, cyclist, cook. Helping investors break thru the clutter. Views are mine.

Joined December 2014

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Jurrien Timmer@TimmerFidelity

2026.10.15 21:39

For now, I am giving this cyclical (and secular) bull the benefit of the doubt, assuming (hoping?) that the stellar earnings momentum is not about to mean-revert. I suspect that the “melt-up” phase of this bull (since April 2025) may have ended in early June, but perhaps that is just a pause in the momentum during the seasonally weakest timeframe (July-October). I’ll stick to my 60/20/20 playbook, which has held up quite well, even though it diversifies away from the mega cap theme.